Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS72 KILM 011404
FWSILM

SPOT FORECAST FOR LONGLEAF RX BURN...NC STATE PARK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
1004 AM EDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1130 EDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE AREA EARLY THIS MORNING
FOLLOWED BY DRY HIGH PRESSURE LATER TODAY. THIS HIGH PRESSURE
WILL MOVE OFFSHORE THURSDAY...LEADING TO ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES THROUGH LATE WEEK. A COLD FRONT WILL CROSS EARLY
SATURDAY BRINGING A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS. DRY HIGH PRESSURE WILL
SETTLE BACK ACROSS THE AREA SUNDAY AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT..LOW.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 66.
MIN HUMIDITY........44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MAX ADI.............43.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1609-38640 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).............25     16     15     13
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................57     60     63     63
RH..................62     55     48     44
20 FT WIND..........NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     15     15     15
ADI.................40     40     42     32
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...37     36     27     18

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
MAX ADI.............37.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (3104 MPH-FT).

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............10     3      3      3      3      4
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................62     58     55     53     51     47
RH..................47     55     62     69     77     92
20 FT WIND..........E 6    E 5    E 4    E 4    E 4    E 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....15     10     10     5      5      5
ADI.................37     8      6      6      7      6
VRATE MPH-FT/1000...14     4      4      3      4      3

$$
FORECASTER...KREITNER
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS HELMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150401.LONGL.01/ILM



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