Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS St. Louis, MO

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FNUS73 KLSX 032155
FWSLSX

SPOT FORECAST FOR CARTY...U.S FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ST LOUIS MO
455 PM CDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1641 CDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH OCCASIONAL GUSTS WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL
FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON.  EXPECT GUSTS TO END
AROUND 700 PM...AND THE SUSTAINED WIND SHOULD DIMINISH AS WELL.
WIND WILL INCREASE AND BECOME A LITTLE MORE SOUTHWESTERLY
ON MONDAY MORNING WITH GUSTS DEVELOPING AGAIN BY EARLY
AFTERNOON.  THERE IS LITTLE OR NO CHANCE FOR RAIN OVER THE NEXT
24 HOURS AT THE FIRE SITE.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 59.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH 3 TO 5 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........N/A.
MIXING HEIGHT.......N/A.
TRANSPORT WIND......N/A.
VENTILATION RATE....N/A.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 81.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND...EYE LEVEL....SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AT 2 TO 5 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    6 TO 9 MPH.
WIND...20 FT........SOUTH WIND 6 TO 11 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 21 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL AT MAX HEATING.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHWEST AROUND 22 MPH.
VENTILATION RATE....VERY GOOD (18806 M^2/S) AT MAX HEATING.

$$

FORECASTER...CARNEY
REQUESTED BY...CRAIG GILBERT
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150503.CARTY.01/LSX





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