Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 210658
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
258 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

...PERIODIC RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS WITH MUCH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES...

.DISCUSSION...UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL CONTINUE ACROSS MICHIGAN THROUGH
THURSDAY AS LOW PRESSURE AND ASSOCIATED MOISTURE HOLD OVER THE
GREAT LAKES. COOL TEMPERATURES WILL LEND TO SOME LAKE ENHANCEMENT
TO PRECIPITATION...WITH A MIX OF RAIN AND SNOW EXPECTED.
CONDITIONS BEGIN TO IMPROVE HEADING INTO AND THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-212015-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
258 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48...EXCEPT 34-39 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1570).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.14 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW WITH RAIN LIKELY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (310).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.13 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41...EXCEPT 29-34 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1830).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-212015-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
258 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL
                    1200...THEN NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1940).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER...EXCEPT 4 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (330).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL
                    0800...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44...EXCEPT 32-37 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2030).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-212015-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
258 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY AND
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT AROUND 40 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1620).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.14 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL 0500.
                    SNOW AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 73-78 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 11 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.13 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-212015-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
258 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN AND SNOW LIKELY
                    UNTIL 1200...THEN RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.16 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400...THEN SNOW AND RAIN.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (520).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SNOW UNTIL 0800...THEN
                    SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.06 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-212015-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
258 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SNOW LIKELY AND
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200...THEN
                    NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2090).
MIXING HEIGHT.......8100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.15 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2000...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN.
                    CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (510).
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.11 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN
                    UNTIL 0800...THEN SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1100.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

MSB



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