Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 261147
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR F-3 E-19...EGLIN AFB
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
647 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WEATERLY WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO LAST THROUGH THE DAY
TODAY...THEN BECOME NORTHERLY LATE TONIGHT AS A WEAK FRONT MOVES TO
THE GULF COAST.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...FOG NOT EXPECTED TONIGHT...BUT
INCREASING COVERAGE/DENSITY EXPECTED MONDAY AND TUESDAY NIGHTS.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........55 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5100 FT AGL
                    EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 3800 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 10 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 61 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING B.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........57     57     39     39
WEATHER COV.......
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............78     82     84     85
RH................69     61     56     57
20 FT WIND DIR....W      W      WSW    WSW
20 FT WIND SPD....6      6      6      7
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......2800   39   5100   4200
TRANSP WIND DIR...WNW    WNW    W      WSW
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     13     10     13
DISPERSION........44     5     61     48
LVORI.............1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...C      C      B      B
CWR...............10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST-SOUTHWEST 13 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH-NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....48 DECREASING TO 10.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 6.
STABILITY CLASS.....B BECOMING E EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING F LATE IN THE EVENING BECOMING E AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........39     40     40     40     56     56
WEATHER COV.......                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............81     77     73     70     67     66
RH................65     75     84     92     96     95
20 FT WIND DIR....WSW    WSW    W      W      W      NNW
20 FT WIND SPD....7      7      5      5      4      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......3800   2400   500    500    300    100
TRANSP WIND DIR...WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    WSW    NNW
TRANSP WIND SPD...13     17     16     16     13     12
DISPERSION........40     12     7      7      9      8
LVORI.............1      4      5      5      6      6
STABILITY CLASS...B      E      F      F      E      E
CWR...............10     10     10     10     20     20

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO
                    THE EAST-SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO  3800 FT AGL
                    EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON...DECREASING TO 2400 FT
                    AGL LATE BY EVENING.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH-NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST-NORTHEAST 12 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    13 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO AROUND 46 EARLY TO MID AFTERNOON
                    ...THEN DECREASING TO 17 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6 DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 1 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    INCREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....E BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........56     100    93     93     84     90
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............66     67     73     78     81     80
RH................91     85     71     58     54     58
20 FT WIND DIR....NNW    NE     ENE    ENE    E      ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....5      5      5      5      5      5
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    2000   2900   3800   2400
TRANSP WIND DIR...NNW    NE     E      E      SE     SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...12     12     15     15     13     8
DISPERSION........8      0      36     41     46     17
LVORI.............6      6      3      2      1      3
STABILITY CLASS...E      D      C      C      C      C
CWR...............20     20     20     20     40     40

$$
FORECASTER...16
REQUESTED BY...BRETT WILLIAMS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150426.F3E19.01/MOB



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