RSS FeedsIssued by NWS Dodge City, KS
000 FXUS63 KDDC 080942 AFDDDC AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DODGE CITY KS 334 AM CST SUN NOV 8 2009 .DISCUSSION... DAYS 1-2... COLD FRONT LOCATED NEAR THE NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER EARLIER THIS MORNING REMAINS PROGGED TO CROSS SW KS LATER TODAY/EARLY TONIGHT AS AN UPPER LVL DISTURBANCE CROSSES OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS. INITIALLY AS THIS FRONT CROSSES WESTERN KS PCPN CHANCES NOT APPEARING TO BE OVERLY IMPRESSIVE BUT AS THIS FRONT APPROACHES THE OKLAHOMA BORDER 85H MOISTURE WILL BEGIN TO IMPROVE AS 85H WAA, ISENTROPIC LIFT AND BETTER 925-85H FGEN DEVELOPS. AS A RESULT WILL KEEP HIGH CHC POPS OF -RW DEVELOPING LATER TONIGHT IN OUR SE CWA WHILE LEAVING DRYER CONDITIONS FURTHER NW. ON MONDAY A 5H S/W TROF IS PROGGED TO CROSS THE CWA WITH 7H WAA AND MID LVL MOISTURE PRESENT AHEAD OF THIS WAVE. LOW LVL MOISTURE STILL APPEARS TO BE PRIMARILY CONFINED IN OUR SE AND SOUTHERN MOST CWA SO WILL BE KEEPING THE HIGHER POPS ON MONDAY IN OUR S/SE CWA AND EVEN CONTINUE SOME LINGER POPS INTO MONDAY NIGHT BASED ON THE TIMING OF THE 5H TROF. AS FOR TODAY...LOOKS LIKE ONE MORE NICE DAY BASED ON TIMING OF THE COLD FRONT AND NAM/GFS MODEL SOUNDINGS. CURRENT FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH HIGHS TODAY SO WILL STAY CLOSE TO PREVIOUS FORECAST. DAYS 3-7... MID LEVEL DOWNSLOPE FLOW WILL LEAD TO WARMER TEMPERATURES BY WED/THU AHEAD OF A SHORTWAVE TROUGH THAT IS ADVERTISED TO PASS NORTH OF OUR AREA. THERE ARE CONSIDERABLE TIMING DIFFERENCES WITH THE NEXT UPPER TROUGH FOR THE FRI-SUNDAY PERIOD. SOME RAIN IS POSSIBLE DURING THIS TIME FRAME BUT THE EXACT TIMING IS STILL IN QUESTION. DECIDED TO KEEP THE PREVIOUS FCST, WITH SLIGHT CHANCE RAIN POPS FROM FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SUNDAY. TEMPS SHOULD COOL AS THIS SYSTEM APPROACHES. HOW COOL WE GET WILL DEPEND ON THE STRENGTH AND PATH OF THE UPPER SYSTEM. && .AVIATION... SCT-BKN HIGH CLOUDS ARE EXPECTED TODAY. CLOUD BASE MAY LOWER TO 6-10KFT BY THIS EVENING. MVFR CIGS ARE POSSIBLE AFTER 06Z 9TH IMMEDIATELY NORTH OF A COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARY. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DDC 74 45 53 35 / 0 20 40 20 GCK 71 41 54 33 / 0 10 20 10 EHA 75 42 54 36 / 0 20 20 20 LBL 75 43 56 34 / 0 20 30 20 HYS 72 42 56 33 / 0 10 20 10 P28 74 51 57 40 / 0 30 50 30 && .DDC WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... NONE. && $$ FN18/24/24
