Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Omaha/Valley, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50
000
FXUS63 KOAX 251128
AFDOAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OMAHA/VALLEY NE
628 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

SURFACE LOW AT 08Z WAS LOCATED IN NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS JUST SOUTH
OF FAIRBURY AND WILL SLOWLY DRIFT TOWARD KANSAS CITY THROUGH 18Z
AND THEN TOWARD THE LOWER OHIO VALLEY BY THIS EVENING. A BAND OF
STEADY SHOWERS CURRENTLY LOCATED ALONG I80 WILL PERSIST AND MAY
DRIFT SLIGHTLY NORTH THIS MORNING. MEANWHILE...NORTH AND SOUTH OF
THIS PERSISTENT BAND THE COVERAGE WILL BE MORE SPOTTY...AND SOME
AREAS IN NORTHEAST NEBRASKA COULD EVEN REMAIN DRY THROUGH THE DAY.
BEST INSTABILITY WILL EXIST ALONG/EAST OF THE MISSOURI RIVER FOR A
COUPLE HOURS THIS MORNING THEN DIMINISHES GREATLY. HAVE POPS IN
THE 60 TO 80 PERCENT RANGE FOR A GOOD PORTION OF THE AREA THIS
MORNING...BUT WILL BEGIN TAPERING THOSE DOWN THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. HELD ONTO A FEW LINGERING SPRINKLES IN WESTERN IOWA
THIS EVENING. OTHERWISE...SKIES WILL REMAIN CLOUD TODAY THUS TEMPS
SHOULD BE ON THE COOLER SIDE.

CLOUDS SHOULD BEGIN TO SLOWLY CLEAR TONIGHT WITH A PERSISTENT EAST
SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW...BUT LOW CLOUDS COULD LINGER IN THE WESTERN
AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA AS LOW LEVEL RH PROGS
REMAIN RATHER MOIST...AND THOSE CLOUDS COULD EVEN LINGER INTO
SUNDAY MORNING.

TEMPS DO RECOVER SUNDAY...AND SHOULD BE BACK INTO THE MID 60S IN
THE MISSOURI RIVER VALLEY...BUT STILL LOW 60S ALONG THE WESTERN
EDGE WHERE CLOUD COVER MAY BE JUST HIGHER.

MONDAY SHOULD BE A GREAT DAY WITH SIGNIFICANTLY SUNNIER
CONDITIONS WITH HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 60S AND PERSISTENT
EASTERLY FLOW.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 256 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

ANOTHER WEAK FRONT DOES MOVE ACROSS THE REGION ON TUESDAY...WITH
THE ECMWF ABOUT 6 HOURS AHEAD OF THE GFS. THERE IS LIMITED MARGINAL
MOISTURE ALONG THE FRONT...THUS KEPT THE FORECAST DRY...BUT THE
ECMWF THE LAST COUPLE OF RUNS HAS HINTED AT LEAST AT SLIGHT CHANCE
OF STORMS SO WILL CONTINUE TO WATCH. OTHERWISE...THE REMAINDER OF
THE FORECAST REMAINS DRY WITH UPPER RIDGING BUILDING ACROSS THE
REGION. HIGH TEMPS SHOULD PROGRESSIVELY WARM EACH DAY EVENTUALLY
REACHING THE MID TO UPPER 70S BY THE END OF THE WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION...(12Z TAFS FOR KOFK...KLNK AND KOMA.)
ISSUED AT 613 AM CDT SAT APR 25 2015

RADAR MOSAIC SHOWING WIDESPREAD SHRA/IFR CONDITIONS COVERING THE
MAJORITY OF ERN NEB THIS MORNING. ALL THIS IN PART TO SFC LOW
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER NERN KS. AS THE SFC LOW PUSHES INTO MO
LATER THIS AFTN...EXPECT CONDITIONS IMPROVING GRADUALLY FROM WEST
TO EAST WITH ALL TERMINALS SEEING LOW END VFR CIGS PREVAILING
THRU TONIGHT.

&&

.OAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NE...NONE.
IA...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...DEWALD
LONG TERM...DEWALD
AVIATION...DEE



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.