Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 210814
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
414 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE OFF THE COAST AROUND DAYBREAK. DRY AND
SEASONABLE HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD ACROSS THE AREA TODAY AND
WEDNESDAY. ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL CROSS THE COAST EARLY THURSDAY
FOLLOWED BY MORE SEASONABLE WEATHER FRIDAY. A STORM SYSTEM MAY
AFFECT THE AREA SATURDAY. COOLER HIGH PRESSURE WILL FOLLOW INTO
EARLY NEXT WEEK.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW.

NCZ105>110-220015-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
414 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          75           50           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  8        W  4         SW  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         W  3         SW 11
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             67/1000      2000         60/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        29           90           34
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          5            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6500                      5930
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 15                      SW 28
VENTILATION RATE      97500                     166040
ADI EARLY             46 GEN GOOD  50 GEN GOOD  34 FAIR
ADI LATE              71 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  88 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...A WEAK SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP AT THE BEACHES AROUND 1 PM.
BY 4 PM THE SEABREEZE FRONT SHOULD ONLY BE LOCATED 2-4 MILES INLAND
WITH COOLER SOUTHERLY WINDS BLOWING ONSHORE BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
79 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 29 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 82 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 70. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
82 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
44 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-220015-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
414 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          75           48           77
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  8        W  4         SW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  8         LGT/VAR      SW 13 G20
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             64/1000      2000         57/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        30           87           37
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7080                      7060
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 31
VENTILATION RATE      120360                    218860
ADI EARLY             42 GEN GOOD  58 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR
ADI LATE              77 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  110 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 45 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
74 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 32 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 86 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
41 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
43 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-220015-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
414 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          76           50           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  7        W  5         W  4
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         W  3         SW 10
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             66/1000      2000         60/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        31           86           37
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          5            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6340                      6480
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 16                      SW 24
VENTILATION RATE      101440                    155520
ADI EARLY             42 GEN GOOD  51 GEN GOOD  32 FAIR
ADI LATE              75 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  83 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...A WEAK SEABREEZE WILL DEVELOP AT THE BEACHES AROUND 1 PM.
BY 4 PM THE SEABREEZE FRONT SHOULD ONLY BE LOCATED 1-3 MILES INLAND
WITH COOLER SOUTHERLY WINDS BLOWING ONSHORE BEHIND THE BOUNDARY.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 84 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 93 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
46 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-220015-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
414 AM EDT TUE APR 21 2015

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      WED

CLOUD AMOUNT          CLEAR        MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
LAL                   1            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          75           49           78
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)NW  7        W  5         SW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) W  7         W  3         SW 12
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
INVERSION             64/1000      2000         57/1000
MIN/MAX RH (%)        30           87           37
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          5            5            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   7100                      6860
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   W 17                      SW 29
VENTILATION RATE      120700                    198940
ADI EARLY             38 FAIR      58 GEN GOOD  25 FAIR
ADI LATE              85 GOOD      2 VERY POOR  103 VERY GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            3            5
MAX LVORI LATE        1            5            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 70S. MINIMUM RH 48 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
77 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. CHANCE OF SHOWERS 60 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
42 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. MINIMUM RH
47 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

TRA



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