Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Jackson, KY

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000
FNUS53 KJKL 191032
FWFJKL

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST KENTUCKY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON KY
632 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...A LOW WILL STRENGTHEN AS IT PASSES BY TO THE
WEST OF THE AREA AND REACHES THE GREAT LAKES EARLY ON MONDAY.
THIS SYSTEM WILL BRING AN ABUNDANCE OF MOISTURE NORTH INTO
THE REGION AS THE WARM FRONT LIFTS INTO EASTERN KY. SHOWERS
AND SOME THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT. AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE AND A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE AREA
FROM THE WEST LATE TONIGHT AND BRING A GOOD CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND POSSIBLY THUNDERSTORMS ON MONDAY...BEFORE DRIER AIR
ARRIVES LATE MONDAY NIGHT INTO TUESDAY.

KYZ068-079-083-084-192030-
ROCKCASTLE-PULASKI-WAYNE-MCCREARY-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BRODHEAD...MOUNT VERNON...BURNSIDE...
SOMERSET...MONTICELLO...STEARNS...WHITLEY CITY
632 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING. SHOWERS. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTH 25
                    TO 30 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....96.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (95800 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.57 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......60 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.10 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........61-71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....160.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (159700 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.24 INCHES.


$$

KYZ044-050>052-058>060-104-106>109-119-192030-
FLEMING-MONTGOMERY-BATH-ROWAN-ESTILL-POWELL-MENIFEE-ELLIOTT-
MORGAN-JOHNSON-WOLFE-MAGOFFIN-MARTIN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLEMINGSBURG...CAMARGO...
JEFFERSONVILLE...MOUNT STERLING...OWINGSVILLE...MOREHEAD...
IRVINE...RAVENNA...CLAY CITY...STANTON...FRENCHBURG...
SANDY HOOK...WEST LIBERTY...PAINTSVILLE...CAMPTON...
SALYERSVILLE...INEZ
632 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 71.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........55-65 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....66.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (66000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.42 - 0.79 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.16 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 10
                    TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....186.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (186500 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.27 INCHES.


$$

KYZ069-080-085>088-110>118-120-192030-
JACKSON-LAUREL-WHITLEY-KNOX-BELL-HARLAN-FLOYD-LEE-BREATHITT-KNOTT-
OWSLEY-PERRY-CLAY-LESLIE-LETCHER-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MCKEE...ANNVILLE...LONDON...CORBIN...
WILLIAMSBURG...BARBOURVILLE...MIDDLESBORO...PINEVILLE...
CUMBERLAND...HARLAN...PRESTONSBURG...WHEELWRIGHT...BEATTYVILLE...
JACKSON...HINDMAN...PIPPA PASSES...BOONEVILLE...HAZARD...
MANCHESTER...HYDEN...JENKINS...WHITESBURG...COAL RUN...
ELKHORN CITY...PIKEVILLE...SOUTH WILLIAMSON
632 AM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........62-72 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......36 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS UP TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO 25 TO 30
                    MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....69.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (69300 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......100 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.38 - 0.62 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
LAL.................4.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.14 INCHES.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHWEST 30
                    TO 35 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....174.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (175000 KNOT-FT).
PROB OF PRECIP......70 PERCENT.
QPF (INCHES)........0.23 INCHES.


$$

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
AROUND 60. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
AFTER MIDNIGHT.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS AROUND
60. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
AFTERNOON.

$$
JP



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