Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39
000
FNUS73 KAPX 271358
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
958 AM EDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON APRIL 27.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...EXPECT OVERCAST SKIES THROUGH MIDDAY...WITH CLOUDS
THINNING DURING THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTY WINDS FROM THE NORTH WILL BE
THE MAIN ISSUE TODAY...REACHING SPEEDS OF 15 TO 20 MPH.  RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES WILL BE HIGHER THAN THIS PAST WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........47 AT IGNITION...MAX 54.
RH..................63 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 9 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    NORTH 8 TO 12 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH.                 AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO
                    4500-5000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (600) AT IGNITION. MAX...EXCELLENT
                    (800).

TIME (EDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........87  75  69  64  53  47
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............47  49  50  52  53  53
RH..............63  61  56  54  52  50
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT WIND GUST.20  20  20  20  20  20
HAINES INDEX....2   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......600 700 800 800 700 600

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 33.
RH..................MAX 92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 8 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 3
                    TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300-700 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 3.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........45  41  40  39  36  35  35  35  35  35  35  35
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............52  49  47  45  43  41  39  37  36  35  34  34
RH..............52  56  58  65  70  76  82  85  89  92  92  92
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   3   2   2   2   1   1   1   0
20 FT WIND GUST.15  15  15  10  5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......600 500 400 400 300 200 100 100 100 0   0   0

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 4 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-3700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX GOOD(300).

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........35     35     35     37     42     41
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     37     46     55     56     58
RH..............92     85     64     49     45     41
20 FT WIND......NE 0   NE 1   N 2    N 4    NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.              5      10     10     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4
SMOKE DISP......0      0      100    200    300    300

$$
FORECASTER...JOHN BORIS
REQUESTED BY...JOE RASPOTNIK
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150427.PINE_.01/APX



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.