Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Sterling, VA

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FNUS71 KLWX 121927
FWSLWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOLLIVER...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
327 PM EDT SUN APR 12 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1515 EDT ON APRIL 12.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE WILL BRING CLEAR AND SEASONABLY WARM WEATHER THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE HIGH WILL MOVE OFFSHORE MONDAY LEADING TO AN INCREASE IN CLOUDS.
WARMER THAN NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE.

A COLD FRONT WILL LIKELY BRING SHOWERS TO THE AREA MONDAY NIGHT
INTO TUESDAY MORNING. COOLER CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DURING THE
MIDDLE PART OF THE WEEK BEFORE ANOTHER STRONGER FRONTAL SYSTEM
APPROACHES LATE IN THE WEEK.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 47.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4000 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 200-2000 FT
                    AGL IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 13 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1200-36700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (EDT)       6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)..........4      13     22     30     42     48
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............66     64     57     54     52     50
RH...............38     37     51     61     69     71
20 FT WIND.......S 6    S 4    S 2    S 2    S 2    S 2
20 FT WIND GUST..7             4      4      4      4
CWR..............0      0      0      0      0      0
VRATE KT-FT/1000.37     32     10     1      2      2

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 7 TO
                    12 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1600 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500-5100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 17 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 18 TO 20
                    MPH LATE.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2500-45000 KNOT-FT)...INCREASING
                    TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT (57900-85200 KNOT-FT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EDT)       6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)..........48     42     34     31     30     25
WEATHER COV......
WEATHER TYPE.....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP.............48     47     53     61     67     71
RH...............83     93     80     60     47     41
20 FT WIND.......S 2    S 4    S 6    S 7    S 9    S 10
20 FT WIND GUST..4             7             14     14
CWR..............0      0      0      0      10     10
VRATE KT-FT/1000.3      5      20     45     69     84

$$
FORECASTER...STRUCKMANN
REQUESTED BY...ROANOKE DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150412.TOLLI.01/LWX


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