Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 171259
FWSMFL

SPOT FORECAST FOR LOX 3 MILE RX...US FISH AND WILDLIFE SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
859 AM EDT FRI APR 17 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THERE ARE SHOWERS THIS MORNING THAT WERE MOVING PARALLEL TO THE
EAST COAST. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD REMAIN TO THE EAST OF THE BURN
SITE. HOWEVER...A FEW SHOWERS WERE DEVELOPING ACROSS BROWARD
COUNTY AND MOVING NORTHWARD. IN ADDITION...AN ISOLATED SHOWER
COULD DEVELOP NEAR THE BURN SITE OVER THE NEXT COUPLE HOURS. LIGHT
WINDS THIS MORNING WILL BECOME SOUTH SOUTHEASTERLY AND INCREASE TO
AROUND 7 MPH AS THE SEA BREEZE MOVES INLAND. THE TRANSPORT WINDS
ARE FORECAST TO BE OUT OF THE SOUTH AT 8 TO 12 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
THE WIND IS FORECAST TO DIMINISH AND SHIFT TO THE SOUTHWEST THIS
EVENING. THE BEST CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL BE IN THE LATE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND GUSTY WINDS
ARE POSSIBLE.

THE HYSPLIT RUN IS AVAILABLE AT:

HTTPS://READY.ARL.NOAA.GOV/HYREGOUT/27806_PLOOP.GIF
HTTPS://READY.ARL.NOAA.GOV/HYREGOUT/27806_CLOOP.GIF

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY. SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 57 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1000...THEN 3 UNTIL 1400...THEN 4.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....20...INCREASING TO 32 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM   6 PM   8 PM
SKY (%).........54     64     74     74     78     83
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
TEMP............82     86     87     86     84     80
RH..............72     61     58     59     63     72
20 FT WIND......SE 2   SE 5   S 6    S 6    S 6    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.5      10     15     15     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)....2600   3600   4500   4500   4000   2200
MIXNG WIND......S 6    S 8    S 10   S 10   S 12   S 7
DISPERSION IDX..17     23     31     31     32     6
LVORI...........3      2      1      1      1      4
CHC OF PCPN (%).30     30     60     60     60     60
LAL.............3      3      4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 73.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 97 PERCENT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 0200...THEN 1.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY...THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY. A
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 59 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 3.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 6 TO 8 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-3100 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4000-4500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....11...INCREASING TO 30 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............3.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...JON WALLACE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150417.LOX3M.01/MFL


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