Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 061251
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR BOTHERS 6...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
851 AM EDT WED MAY 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BROAD SURFACE LOW OFFSHORE OF WEST PALM BEACH
WILL PRODUCE A CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
AFTERNOON LIGHTNING STORMS NEAR THE PRESCRIBED BURN AREA. THIS
LOW WILL DRIFT SLOWLY NORTH TOWARD THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH
LATE WEEK. BREEZY NORTH TO NORTHEAST SURFACE AND TRANSPORT
WINDS THIS AFTERNOON WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTHWEST TONIGHT AS THE
LOW LIFTS NORTH. THIS WILL BRING DRIER AIR INTO CENTRAL FLORIDA
THROUGH THE LATTER HALF OF THE WEEK WITH LITTLE TO NO CHANCE
FOR PRECIPITATION.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CONSIDERABLE CLOUDINESS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH-NORTHEAST 15 TO 21 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....61.

TIME (EDT)      9 AM    11 AM   1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........71      75      78     69     69
WEATHER COV.....SCHANCE SCHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR  RNSHWR  RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............71      75      78     78     77
RH..............78      74      68     59     66
20 FT WIND......N 7     N 10    N 13   N 15   N 15
20 FT WIND GUST.9       15      20     25     25

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS VERY
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH-NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING DECREASING TO 6 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT VERY EARLY EVENING.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 11 TO 16 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12.
LVORI...............6.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........69     38     38     38     26     26
WEATHER COV.....SCHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............77     74     71     69     67     66
RH..............68     74     82     87     91     91
20 FT WIND......N 15   N 10   N 9    NW 8   NW 7   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.18     13     12     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........41 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 15 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....70.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........26     24     24     24     28     28
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............66     68     75     81     85     84
RH..............88     80     60     46     42     44
20 FT WIND......W 6    NW 6   NW 8   NW 9   NW 8   N 8
20 FT WIND GUST.              10     10     10     10

$$
FORECASTER...SEDLOCK
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE STRATTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150506.BOTHE.01/MLB


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