Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 170936
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR RINGGOLD RIBBONS...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
436 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL REMAIN PRIMARILY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO THE
UPPER 70S. RH VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 40 T0 50 PERCENT. CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN THE AFTERNOON AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY. WINDS SATURDAY WILL
BE STRONGER WITH GUSTS POSSIBLE. RH VALUES WILL BE HIGHER
SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........48 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4200 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 5100 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 3 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (900-65100 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........46  48  51  52  53
WEATHER COV.....        ISO ISO ISO
WEATHER TYPE....        RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........        ISO ISO ISO
TEMP............73  75  76  77  75
RH..............55  52  50  48  52
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..8   8   7   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...5.4 6.0 6.6 7.2 5.1
MIXNG WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..9   9   10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........55     61     75     83     84     77
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............74     71     67     64     63     62
RH..............53     59     68     73     75     78
20 FT WIND......SE 6   E 7    E 7    E 6    SE 5   SE 7
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4   E 5    E 5    E 4    SE 4   SE 5
EYE LVL WND GST.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 14 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........82        86        95        97
WEATHER COV.....LIKELY    LIKELY    LIKELY    DEFNTE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD    DEFNTE
TEMP............59        63        68        69
RH..............87        84        76        73
20 FT WIND......E 7       SE 8G10   SE 13G15  SE 12G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5       SE 6G10   SE 9G15   SE 9G15

$$
FORECASTER...AWB
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW KELLNER TYPE OF
REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20150417.RINGG.01/DMX


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