Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 170934
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEST EDGE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
434 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

WINDS WILL REMAIN PRIMARILY LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE DAY
FRIDAY WITH PARTLY CLOUDY SKIES. TEMPERATURES WILL WARM TO THE
UPPER 70S. RH VALUES WILL BE BETWEEN 40 T0 50 PERCENT. CHANCES FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE LATE IN THE DAY AND WILL
PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY. WINDS SATURDAY WILL
BE STRONGER WITH GUSTS POSSIBLE. RH VALUES WILL BE HIGHER
SATURDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 6700 FT AGL IN
                    THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 4500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (500-26600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 6 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........54  51  50  53  59  61  64
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70  73  74  75  76  77  76
RH..............55  49  46  45  45  43  45
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LVL WND DIR.SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.2 4.5 5.8 6.1 6.4 6.7 4.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS LATE IN THE EVENING. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING. CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 2 TO 6 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (500-11500 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    EVENING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........69     72     73     77     78     77
WEATHER COV.....                     CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                     ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD
TEMP............74     72     67     63     62     60
RH..............48     53     65     72     75     84
20 FT WIND......SE 5   SE 5   E 6    E 6    E 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4   SE 4   E 4    E 4    E 4    E 4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (FT)....2400   300    300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......S 6    SE 6   E 5    E 5    E 3    E 2
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      3      3      3

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON. THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 2 TO 10 MPH INCREASING TO 13 TO 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO EXCELLENT (500-71500 KNOT-FT)
                    INCREASING TO EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT
                    (76600-89400 KNOT-FT) LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........75        78        81        84
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD
TEMP............58        64        69        72
RH..............86        78        68        61
20 FT WIND......E 6       E 10G15   SE 14G20  SE 15G20
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 4G5     E 7G15    SE 10G20  SE 11G20
MIX HGT (FT)....300       2000      4100      5300
MIXNG WIND......NE 2      E 8       SE 14     SE 17
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

$$
FORECASTER...AWB
REQUESTED BY...JIM KRIZMAN TYPE OF
REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20150417.WESTE.01/DMX


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