Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 161342
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BLUE WING WPA...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
842 AM CDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

CONDITIONS WILL BE PRIMARILY DRY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...PRIMARILY FROM THE
SOUTHEAST...BECOMING SOUTHERLY. LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...CLEARING SOME
BY THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL BE AS LOW AS 35 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................45 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1500-30600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 7 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........57  55  57  60  62  65
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65  67  69  70  71  71
RH..............45  43  42  42  42  42
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.    10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
EYE LVL WND SPD.5   6   5   5   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.    10
MIX HGT (KFT)...4.1 5.4 5.8 6.1 6.5 6.4
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
MIXNG WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   5   6
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6300 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (400-37800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........72     71     60     56     54     54
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............70     67     62     58     56     54
RH..............42     45     56     67     74     77
20 FT WIND......W 6    NW 6   NE 6   NW 6   NW 6   NW 5
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LEVEL WIND..W 4    NW 4   NE 4   NW 4   NW 4   NW 4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (FT)....6300   4300   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SW 7   SW 6   S 3    S 5    SW 3   SW 2
HAINES INDEX....4      4      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 74.
RH..................MIN 40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 3 TO
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (400-33000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........51        52        59        67
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE      NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............49        58        70        74
RH..............89        64        45        40
20 FT WIND......N 5       NE 5      E 5       SE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4G5     NE 4G5    E 4G5     SE 4G5
MIX HGT (FT)....300       800       4800      7300
MIXNG WIND......W 2       N 5       SE 3      S 3
HAINES INDEX....4         4         3         4

$$
FORECASTER...CURTIS
REQUESTED BY...CHAD LORETH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.BLUEW.01/DMX


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