Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 171440
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOD NEIGHBORS - MOUNTAIN TRACT...IOWA DNR-USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
940 AM CDT FRI APR 17 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

HIGH PRESSURE OVER ILLINOIS WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT ACROSS IOWA
TODAY AND MAINLY FREE OF PRECIPITATION. ALTHOUGH MIXING LEVELS
WILL BE FAIRLY TYPICAL...TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL BE
SLIGHTLY ABOVE SEASONAL VALUES WITH INTERMITTENT MID AND HIGH
LEVEL CLOUDINESS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........66 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................50 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 34 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST 3 TO 5 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1200-32000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
                    IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........49  48  47  49  53  55  59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............66  68  70  73  74  75  74
RH..............50  47  44  38  37  34  37
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   5   5   5   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   4
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.4 4.3 6.2 6.8 7.4 8.0 7.5
MIXNG WIND DIR..N   N   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   5   5   5   5   5   5
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS EARLY
                    IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 5 TO 7 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1000-27900 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........68     73     73     76     76     75
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TSTM COV........                                   ISOLTD
TEMP............73     69     63     58     55     54
RH..............38     44     52     59     64     64
20 FT WIND......N 5    NE 6   NE 7   NE 6   NE 6   E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4    NE 4   NE 5   NE 4   NE 4   E 5
EYE LVL WND GST.
MIX HGT (FT)....7000   4400   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......NW 5   N 5    N 5    NE 6   NE 6   E 7
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 66.
RH..................MIN 50 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 7 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 28 TO
                    29 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1600-37600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (63400-109700 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST 17 TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........78        84        90        92
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD
TEMP............52        57        64        66
RH..............66        57        50        56
20 FT WIND......E 7       E 13G15   E 17G25   SE 18G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..E 5       E 9G15    E 12G25   SE 13G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       1000      3400      4400
MIXNG WIND......E 7       E 13      SE 22     SE 28
HAINES INDEX....4         3         3         3

$$
FORECASTER...CURTIS
REQUESTED BY...TODD WALROD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150417.GOODN.01/DMX



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