Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 161324
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR BEAVER LAKE...IOWA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
824 AM CDT THU APR 16 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0835 CDT ON APRIL 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

**PLEASE TRY AND HAVE REQUESTS SUBMITTED THE NIGHT BEFORE OR AT
 LEAST A COUPLE OF HOURS BEFORE THE BURN. FORECASTS CANNOT BE
 GUARANTEED OTHERWISE**

CONDITIONS WILL BE PRIMARILY DRY TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY. WINDS WILL
BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH THE DAY TODAY...PRIMARILY FROM THE
SOUTHEAST...BECOMING SOUTHERLY. LIGHT WINDS WILL PERSIST OVERNIGHT
AND INTO FRIDAY. SKIES WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY EARLY...CLEARING SOME
BY THE AFTERNOON. RH VALUES WILL BE AS LOW AS 35 PERCENT IN THE
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........62 AT IGNITION...MAX 73.
RH..................56 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 47 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE
                    IN THE MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 2
                    TO 3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH 2 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (500-40000 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHEAST AT 3 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN BECOMING LIGHT LATE IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 8 MPH LATE IN
                    THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........73  69  68  66  66  67  71  72  71
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............60  62  65  67  69  70  72  73  73
RH..............55  56  52  52  51  51  48  48  48
20 FT WIND DIR..S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   5   7   8   8   7   7   6
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5           10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   4   5   6   6   5   5   4
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5           10  10
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.2 3.2 4.0 4.8 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.6
MIXNG WIND DIR..SW  W   SW  SE  E   SE  SE  S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   3   2   2   2   5   7   8   7
HAINES INDEX....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 52.
RH..................MAX 89 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 2 TO 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 1 TO
                    3 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (300-20800 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........68     66     64     60     55     45
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............73     68     63     61     59     56
RH..............48     57     65     70     75     80
20 FT WIND......SE 6   E 3    E 2    E 3    E 3    NE 3
20 FT WIND GUST.       5             5      5      5
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 4   E 2    E 1    E 2    E 2    NE 2
EYE LVL WND GST.       5             5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)....5500   3600   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......SW 5   SW 2   E 2    S 3    S 2    SW 1
HAINES INDEX....3      3      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...CURTIS
REQUESTED BY...DEAN NELSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150416.BEAVE.01/DMX



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