Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 231305
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HINDE...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
805 AM CDT THU APR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 CDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP WINDS LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHERLY WITH
CLEARING SKIES. RH VALUES WILL BE LOW IN THE AFTERNOON BETWEEN 20
TO 30 PERCENT. PRECIPITATION CHANCES WILL INCREASE TONIGHT AFTER
MIDNIGHT AND CONTINUE THROUGH THE DAY FRIDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH AROUND 2 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    3 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN SHIFTING TO
                    THE SOUTH 3 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (500-51600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  64  30  1   0   0   0   0   29
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43  45  48  52  55  57  58  59  59
RH..............36  35  33  29  27  25  26  25  27
20 FT WIND DIR..E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   6   6   5   5   6   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.                                10
EYE LVL WND DIR.E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   6
EYE LVL WND GST.                                10
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.1 1.5 3.0 4.4 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.9 5.3
MIXNG WIND DIR..E   E   SE  S   SW  SW  SW  S   S
MIXNG WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   5   6   8   9   12
HAINES INDEX....4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 44.
MAX HUMIDITY........82 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 9 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (2000-53000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO
                    POOR TO POOR (2400-3100 KNOT-FT) AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........16     23     36     50     54     76
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............57     53     49     46     45     45
RH..............31     39     52     60     65     68
20 FT WIND......S 9    SE 10  SE 10  SE 12  SE 12  SE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..S 6    SE 7   SE 7   SE 9   SE 9   SE 9
EYE LVL WND GST.10     15     15     15     15     15
MIX HGT (FT)....4700   2800   300    300    300    300
MIXNG WIND......S 13   S 13   SE 9   SE 10  SE 9   SE 9
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHEAST 16 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (3800-55700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 14 TO 17 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
SKY (%).........91        95        95        98
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE    CHANCE    LIKELY    LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
TSTM COV........          ISOLTD    ISOLTD    ISOLTD
TEMP............45        44        49        51
RH..............70        82        80        80
20 FT WIND......SE 14G20  SE 16G25  SE 16G25  SE 16G25
EYE LEVEL WIND..SE 10G20  SE 11G25  SE 11G25  SE 11G25
MIX HGT (FT)....300       900       2000      2700
MIXNG WIND......SE 16     S 24      SE 22     SE 21
HAINES INDEX....3         3         3         3

$$
FORECASTER...AWB
REQUESTED BY...BLAKE KNISLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150423.HINDE.01/DMX



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