Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Des Moines, IA

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000
FNUS73 KDMX 281335
FWSDMX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GOOD NEIGHBORS - MOUNTAIN TRACT...IA DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DES MOINES IA
835 AM CDT TUE APR 28 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

AN INITIAL OBSERVATION AT IGNITION AND A MID BURN OBSERVATION ARE REQUIRED...
PLEASE RELAY THEM TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR EACH PRESCRIBED BURN.

.DISCUSSION...

MID TO HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS
AS A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES ACROSS THE NORTHERN PART OF IOWA.
THIS FRONT MAY BRING SOME ISOLATED SPRINKLES IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL FALL INTO THE 25 TO 30
PERCENT RANGE WITH A NORTH WIND OF AROUND 10 MPH.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........65 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................31 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 9900 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO 16 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (30700 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT (122700-128700 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 8 MPH AT
                    IGNITION REMAINING NEARLY STEADY.

TIME (CDT)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........30  27  24  40  44  60  63
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
TEMP............65  67  69  70  71  71  70
RH..............31  29  28  27  28  28  30
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..8   9   9   9   10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10      15  15
EYE LVL WND DIR.NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.6   6   6   6   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.10  10  10  10      15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.9 6.3 8.6 9.1 9.5 9.9 8.9
MIXNG WIND DIR..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N
MIXNG WIND SPD..9   12  14  15  15  15  16
HAINES INDEX....5   5   5   5   5   5   5

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SPRINKLES EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 86 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 5
                    TO 6 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD TO EXCELLENT (54100-115300 KNOT-FT)
                    DECREASING TO POOR TO FAIR (900-19800 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM      9 PM      MIDNGT    3 AM
SKY (%).........53        45        36        34
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............67        56        51        46
RH..............34        57        71        79
20 FT WIND......N 12G15   N 8G10    N 7       N 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 9G15    N 6G10    N 5       N 5
MIX HGT (FT)....8000      2500      300       300
MIXNG WIND......N 16      N 9       N 5       N 5
HAINES INDEX....5         4         4         5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 68.
RH..................MIN 27 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 8700 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 3 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 14 TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (800-11300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    EXCELLENT TO EXCELLENT (97200-104600 KNOT-FT).
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........34           12           15
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............41           56           67
RH..............85           51           28
20 FT WIND......N 6          N 9G15       N 13G15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4G5        N 6G15       N 9G15
MIX HGT (FT)....300          4400         7600
MIXNG WIND......NW 3         N 15         N 14
HAINES INDEX....4            4            5

$$
FORECASTER...COGIL
REQUESTED BY...TODD WALROD
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.GOODN.01/DMX


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