Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 241345
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SHEEP BASIN...SILVER CITY DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
745 AM MDT FRI APR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0750 MDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE REGION WILL BE IN BETWEEN STORM SYSTEMS TODAY WITH A FAIRLY
ZONAL FLOW SETUP ALLOWING FOR CONTINUED BREEZY CONDITIONS. ENOUGH
MOISTURE REMAIN IN PLACE FOR ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
INTO THE AFTERNOON HOURS. TEMPERATURES WILL BE ABOUT 5 TO 7 DEGREES
COOLER THAN YESTERDAY. WINDS WILL BE ON THE INCREASE FOR SATURDAY
AS A STORM SYSTEM STARTS TO DIVE OUT OF THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST.
EXPECT CONDITIONS TO BE JUST A LITTLE TOO MOIST FOR CRITICAL TO
DEVELOP...BUT IT COULD BE CLOSE. A GOOD CHANCE FOR PRECIPITATION
GOING INTO SUNDAY WITH POTENTIAL FOR A LIGHT COATING OF SNOW AT THE
HIGHEST POINTS OF THE BURN.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 2 TO 8 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7900-9100 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 25 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........POOR THIS MORNING...BECOMING EXCELLENT (200000 KT-FEET)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........BECOMING MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST 8 TO 13 MPH BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 2 TO 7 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........19-24 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST-SOUTHWEST 5 TO 12 MPH INCREASING TO 15 TO
                    20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST-SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (240000 KT-FEET).

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150424.SHEEP.01/EPZ





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