Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Seattle/Tacoma, WA

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000
FNUS76 KSEW 042305
FWSSEW

SPOT FORECAST FOR ELK FORAGE 13 2...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SEATTLE WA
405 PM PDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1605 PDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE IN SEATTLE.

.DISCUSSION....CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT OVER THE BURN SITE MAY RESULT
IN AN ISOLATED SHOWER THIS AFTERNOON...BUT BEST CHANCE FOR
PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED TO HOLD OFF UNTIL BETWEEN 1800 AND 2000
THIS EVENING...WHEN RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE IN FROM THE WEST. WINDS WILL BE BREEZY WITH SOME GUSTS
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...THEN SUBSIDING SOMEWHAT AS THE FRONT PASSES
THROUGH TONIGHT. TUESDAY LOOKS WET AS SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A PASSING
LOW. MOUNTAIN SHOWERS WILL LINGER INTO WEDNESDAY WITH DRY WEATHER
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

 FORECAST FOR 20 FOOT WIND SPEED (VALLEYS AND RIDGE TOPS) ARE 10
 MINUTE AVERAGES REFLECTING RAWS WINDS.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THIS AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    THIS EVENING.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.01 INCHES.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS.
CWR.................18 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 38.
MAX HUMIDITY........89 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................1.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.05 INCHES.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY. RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE MORNING.
                    RAIN SHOWERS THROUGH THE DAY WITH ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................33 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 46.
MIN HUMIDITY........65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN DECREASING TO 3900 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW.
LAL.................2.
RAINFALL AMOUNT.....0.15 INCHES.

$$
FORECASTER...REEDY
REQUESTED BY...HANS REDINGER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.ELKFO.02/SEW





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