Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Great Falls, MT

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000
FNUS75 KTFX 022349
FWSTFX

SPOT FORECAST FOR ETHEL 24...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GREAT FALLS MT
549 PM MDT SAT MAY 2 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1605 MDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A DRY AND SLIGHTLY COOL CANADIAN AIRMASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE
REGION AND BRING CONTINUED DRY CONDITIONS THROUGH SUNDAY. MONDAY
WILL BE SOMEWHAT WARMER AND DRIER WITH CONTINUED LIGHT WINDS. A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN MOISTURE LATE MONDAY WILL RESULT IN AFTERNOON
CUMULUS DEVELOPMENT AND AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM CANNOT
BE RULED OUT MONDAY EVENING. A STRONGER UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND
COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY...BRINING A BETTER
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS...FOLLOWED BY COOLER CONDITIONS ON WEDNESDAY.
WINDS WILL ALSO INCREASE WITH THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT ON
TUESDAY WITH WINDS SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY EARLY IN THE EVENING THEN CLEARING.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
RIDGETOP WIND.......NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-20 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS UP TO 5 MPH BECOMING UPSLOPE 3 -6 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........60-65 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING DOWNSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER SUNSET.
RIDGETOP WIND.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......LESS THAN 1000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY WITH CUMULUS DEVELOPING IN THE AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED SHOWER
                    OR WEAK THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE IN THE EVENING.
CWR.................LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS TO 5 MPH...BECOMING USPSLOPE 3-5 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
CWR.................15%.
TEMPERATURE.........LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.
HUMIDITY............MORNING RECOVERY 50-60%. AFTERNOON MINIMUM 20-25%.
WINDS...............SOUTHWEST WINDS 5-10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING
                    TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND
                    EARLY EVENING.
RIDGETOP WIND.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AND INCREASING
                    TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON AND
                    EARLY EVENING.

$$
FORECASTER...HOENISCH
REQUESTED BY...JAREL KURTZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150503.ETHEL.01/TFX


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