Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FLUS44 KTSA 051002
HWOTSA

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
502 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

ARZ001-002-010-011-019-020-029-OKZ049-053>076-061015-
ADAIR OK-BENTON AR-CARROLL AR-CHEROKEE OK-CHOCTAW OK-CRAIG OK-
CRAWFORD AR-CREEK OK-DELAWARE OK-FRANKLIN AR-HASKELL OK-LATIMER OK-
LE FLORE OK-MADISON AR-MAYES OK-MCINTOSH OK-MUSKOGEE OK-NOWATA OK-
OKFUSKEE OK-OKMULGEE OK-OSAGE OK-OTTAWA OK-PAWNEE OK-PITTSBURG OK-
PUSHMATAHA OK-ROGERS OK-SEBASTIAN AR-SEQUOYAH OK-TULSA OK-WAGONER OK-
WASHINGTON OK-WASHINGTON AR-
502 AM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

THIS OUTLOOK IS FOR NORTHWEST AND WEST CENTRAL ARKANSAS AS WELL AS
MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...EASTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.
ONSET...AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

HEAVY RAIN.
RISK...LIMITED.
AREA...WEST OF A LINE FROM NOWATA TO HUGO.
ONSET...EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON...WITH AN ISOLATED STRONG TO SEVERE STORM POSSIBLE.
THE MAJORITY OF THE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL FOCUS ACROSS
WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND NORTH TEXAS...AND SPREAD NORTHEASTWARD
THIS EVENING AND OVERNIGHT ACROSS MUCH OF EASTERN OKLAHOMA
AND PORTIONS OF NORTHWEST ARKANSAS.  INSTABILITY WILL BE
LIMITED AHEAD OF THIS ACTIVITY WHICH WILL REDUCE THE
SEVERE WEATHER POTENTIAL.  LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL IS
POSSIBLE ACROSS EASTERN OKLAHOMA FROM LATE THIS EVENING
THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING.

SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT ACTION STATEMENT...
LOCAL SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY.
WEDNESDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HIGH WIND POTENTIAL.
THURSDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.
SUNDAY...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL.
MONDAY...THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL.

EXTENDED DISCUSSION...
AN UNSETTLED WEATHER PATTERN WILL PREVAIL FROM MID WEEK
THROUGH NEXT WEEKEND.  DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
EXIST...AND WHILE THE STRONGEST STORMS WILL LIKELY FOCUS
WEST AND NORTH OF THE REGION...THERE WILL LIKELY REMAIN
AT LEAST A LIMITED RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER EACH DAY.
THE PRIMARY STORM SYSTEM WILL SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION
OVER THE WEEKEND...WHICH MAY INCREASE THE SEVERE WEATHER
POTENTIAL AS WINDS ALOFT STRENGTHEN.  ADDITIONALLY...
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL LIKELY OCCUR WHICH MAY
RAISE FLOODING CONCERNS.

WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/TULSA CONTAINS ADDITIONAL INFORMATION.

$$






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