Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 310954
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
554 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

...WARMING TREND ANTICIPATED THROUGH MIDWEEK...

.DISCUSSION...LOW PRESSURE OVER FAR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN EARLY
THIS MORNING WILL PULL AWAY FROM THE REGION TODAY...THOUGH ANOTHER
SYSTEM WILL COME IN QUICKLY ON ITS HEELS FROM THE NORTHWEST THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT...BRINGING SOME LIGHT SNOW OR RAIN TO MUCH OF
NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN.  DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED WEDNESDAY ALONG
WITH WARMER TEMPERATURES...WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF RAIN AND SOME
THUNDERSTORMS FOR THURSDAY.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-312000-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
554 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 1400. CHANCE OF SNOW AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (210).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (40).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (350).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-312000-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
554 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    OR SNOW AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (270).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.11 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (390).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-312000-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
554 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (20).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (400).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ031>033-312000-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
554 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (630).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 2000 UNTIL 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (10).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH
                    AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........47-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (420).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH AROUND
                    12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-312000-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
554 AM EDT TUE MAR 31 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (790).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    2000 UNTIL 2300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW UNTIL
                    0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....25-30.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........GOOD (360).
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.01 IN.

$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
20. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JPB



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