Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 200846
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
446 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.DISCUSSION...

LOW PRESSURE OVER LOWER MICHIGAN WILL LIFT NORTHWARD INTO NORTHERN
ONTARIO PROVINCE TODAY AND TONIGHT. IN THE PROCESS...IT WILL FINISH
PUSHING ITS ASSOCIATED WARM FRONT ACROSS THE AREA THIS MORNING...
THEN WILL SWEEP ITS TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE REGION LATER THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. PERIODS OF SHOWERS WILL ACCOMPANY THE PASSAGE
OF BOTH FRONTS...WITH THE COLD FRONT ALSO POTENTIALLY ACCOMPANIED BY
A FEW THUNDERSTORMS...SOME OF WHICH COULD PRODUCE GUSTY WINDS SOUTH
OF LAKE ONTARIO. IN THE WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...MUCH COOLER AND
GENERALLY UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL THEN RETURN FOR THE REST OF THE
WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010-011-202115-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-
446 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       73           42           55
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 21                     SW 16
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 16        SW 13        SW 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.24         0.19         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     5            6            1
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING         3 PM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         4 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           87           40
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6600           70        10560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 24        SW 21        SW 35
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              158400         1470       369600
DISPERSION INDEX                  158            1          370
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ012-019>021-085-202115-
WYOMING-CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-SOUTHERN ERIE-
446 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     80           80           40
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       72           41           52
AM WIND (MPH)                    S 23                     SW 14
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 17        SW 12        SW 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.17         0.21         0.05
PRECIP DURATION                     4            7            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING        10 AM
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING         4 AM   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           84           42
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              7070           70        11200
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 27        SW 22        SW 33
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              190890         1540       369600
DISPERSION INDEX                  191            2          370
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-202115-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
446 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           80           30
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       72           44           56
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 24                     SW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    S 19         S 14        SW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.15         0.31         0.03
PRECIP DURATION                     4            9            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM   CONTINUING        11 AM
PRECIP END                      11 AM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               47           83           39
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            4
LAL                                 3            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              6630           70        11620
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              S 24         S 23        SW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              159120         1610       348600
DISPERSION INDEX                  159            2          349
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-202115-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
446 AM EDT MON APR 20 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          TUE
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY       CLOUDY        MCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                    100           80           50
PRECIP TYPE                   SHOWERS        TSTMS      SHOWERS
MAX/MIN TEMP                       62           42           56
AM WIND (MPH)                   SE 23                     SW 10
PM WIND (MPH)                   SE 23        SE 18        SW 13
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.27         0.41         0.07
PRECIP DURATION                     6            7            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 AM         7 PM   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                       3 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               43           87           44
HAINES INDEX                        2            3            4
LAL                                 1            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              3440           70        10410
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SE 45        SE 33        SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              154800         2310       270660
DISPERSION INDEX                  155            2          271
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SNOW AND RAIN SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 40S.

WIND TUESDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$







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