Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 030810
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
410 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...

...NEAR CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY...

TODAY WILL BRING ANOTHER WARM AND DRY DAY ACROSS THE AREA WITH
TEMPERATURES IN THE MID 70S AND RH VALUES BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 25
TO 30 PERCENT RANGE...CONTRIBUTING TO CONTINUED DRYING OF FINE
DEAD FUELS. HOWEVER...WINDS WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY LIGHT TODAY.
HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL RUN ABOUT 5 DEGREES WARMER ON MONDAY...WITH
MANY LOWER ELEVATION/INLAND LOCATIONS PUSHING INTO THE LOW 80S.
WINDS WILL INCREASE AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT...WITH THE
STRONGEST WINDS FOUND NORTHEAST OF LAKES ERIE AND ONTARIO.
SUSTAINED WINDS WILL REACH 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH IN THIS
AREA. RH VALUES WILL RUN ABOUT 5 PERCENT HIGHER ON MONDAY...WITH
DAYTIME MIN BOTTOMING OUT IN THE 30 TO 35 PERCENT RANGE...AND THUS
WILL KEEP FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS IN THE NEAR-CRITICAL RANGE.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-032130-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
410 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       75           51           81
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  7                     SW 13
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 11        SW  8        SW 21
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               30           81           30
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)             11460           70         9240
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 14        SW 17        SW 30
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              160440         1190       277200
DISPERSION INDEX                  160            1          277
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-032130-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
410 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       73           49           78
AM WIND (MPH)                   SW  5                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  8      LGT/VAR        SW 17
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               30           83           29
HAINES INDEX                        5            4            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)             12000           70         9650
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 13        SW  8        SW 23
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              156000          560       221950
DISPERSION INDEX                  156            1          222
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-032130-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
410 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                    MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       78           51           82
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                     SW 11
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7        SW  5        SW 18
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               26           83           29
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)             12000           70        10560
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 10         W 11        SW 25
VENT RATE (KT-FT)              120000          770       264000
DISPERSION INDEX                  120            1          264
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-032130-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
410 AM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

                                TODAY      TONIGHT          MON
CLOUD COVER                     PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                      0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                      NONE         NONE         NONE
MAX/MIN TEMP                       74           48           79
AM WIND (MPH)                 LGT/VAR                      S  9
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  7      LGT/VAR        SW 16
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
MIN/MAX HUMIDITY (%)               27           86           31
HAINES INDEX                        5            5            4
LAL                                 1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)              8630           70         9760
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)              W 11         W 11        SW 26
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               94930          770       253760
DISPERSION INDEX                   95            1          254
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS AROUND
70.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
WIND TUESDAY...WEST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND WEDNESDAY...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$



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