Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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000
FNUS51 KBUF 042310
FWFBUF

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WESTERN NEW YORK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
710 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

.DISCUSSION...

A WEAK COOL FRONT WILL SAG ACROSS OUR FORECAST AREA EARLY
TONIGHT TO PRODUCE SOME BADLY NEEDED SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A
COUPLE THUNDERSTORMS...BUT SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE NOT
EXPECTED. THE FRONT WILL STALL OVER PENNSYLVANIA ON TUESDAY...
WHILE HIGH PRESSURE WILL DRIFT ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES REGION.
OTHER THAN A SHOWER OR TWO OVER THE SOUTHERN TIER ON TUESDAY...
DRY WEATHER WITH ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES CAN BE EXPECTED
THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.

NYZ001-002-010>012-085-050915-
NIAGARA-ORLEANS-NORTHERN ERIE-GENESEE-WYOMING-SOUTHERN ERIE-
710 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     40            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           70           39           76
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W 10        NE  7      LGT/VAR         E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM
PRECIP END                       6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               97           40           85           32
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            5            5
LAL                                 4            4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         5360           70         6850
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19         N  6         N  6         E  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1330        32160          420        47950
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           32            0           48
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ019>021-050915-
CHAUTAUQUA-CATTARAUGUS-ALLEGANY-
710 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50           40           30            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       52           72           42           73
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  8         N  7        NE  5      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.16         0.09         0.10         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2            2            2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM   CONTINUING   CONTINUING
PRECIP END                 CONTINUING   CONTINUING         3 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               98           46           90           33
HAINES INDEX                        3            3            3            3
LAL                                 4            4            4            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         6060           70         7480
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 19        NW  7         N  7         E  7
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1330        42420          490        52360
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           42            0           52
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ003>005-013-014-050915-
MONROE-WAYNE-NORTHERN CAYUGA-LIVINGSTON-ONTARIO-
710 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     50            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           71           38           76
AM WIND (MPH)                              LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  9         N  8      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.08         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     2
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM
PRECIP END                       6 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               95           39           86           31
HAINES INDEX                        3            4            5            5
LAL                                 4            4            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         5390           70         7350
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 17         N  8         N  7        NE  6
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1190        43120          490        44100
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           43            0           44
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

NYZ006>008-050915-
OSWEGO-JEFFERSON-LEWIS-
710 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

                              TONIGHT          TUE    TUE NIGHT          WED
CLOUD COVER                     MCLDY        PCLDY       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)                     70            0            0            0
PRECIP TYPE                     TSTMS         NONE         NONE         NONE
MIN/MAX TEMP                       51           70           35           74
AM WIND (MPH)                                NE  5                   LGT/VAR
PM WIND (MPH)                    W  6        NW  7      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
PRECIP AMOUNT                    0.12         0.00         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION                     4
PRECIP BEGIN                     6 PM
PRECIP END                       5 AM
MAX/MIN HUMIDITY (%)               96           27           80           25
HAINES INDEX                        4            4            5            5
LAL                                 4            1            1            1
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                70         6990           70         7420
TRANSPORT WIND (KT)             SW 20        NW 10        NW  9        NW  9
VENT RATE (KT-FT)                1400        69900          630        66780
DISPERSION INDEX                    1           70            1           67
REMARKS...NONE.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.

WIND WEDNESDAY NIGHT...NORTH AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND THURSDAY...EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
WIND FRIDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
WIND SATURDAY...SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION NEAR NORMAL.

$$



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