Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 031921
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
321 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.DISCUSSION...INCREASING MOISTURE AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT TOMORROW WILL
TRIGGER SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. THE FRONT
WILL GET CAUGHT UP NEAR THE SOUTHERN MICHIGAN BORDER MONDAY NIGHT AND
TUESDAY...SUPPORTING ADDITIONAL RAIN ON TUESDAY...ALONG WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-041415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
321 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    2 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-61.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5830-6330 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3030-3530 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-041415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
321 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT UNTIL
                    3 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 7 AM...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......34 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6370-6870 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1470).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......540-740 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTHEAST
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3180-3680 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (420).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-041415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
321 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 6 AM UNTIL
                    7 AM...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....74-79.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-57 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7470-7970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1910).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......940-1140 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING NORTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1350-1850 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

$$

SF/DT



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