Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 191921
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
321 PM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.DISCUSSION...RAIN WILL EXPAND NORTH THROUGH THE AREA THIS EVENING
AND TONIGHT AS LOW PRESSURE LIFTS INTO LOWER MICHIGAN. SHOWERS WILL
THEN PERSIST ON MONDAY AS A COLD FRONT WRAPS EAST THROUGH THE AREA
AROUND THIS LOW. MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL HOLD ABOVE 50 PERCENT WITH
THIS MOISTURE ON MONDAY AS TEMPERATURES CLIMB INTO THE 60S. WHILE
SCATTERED SHOWERS WILL EXTEND INTO TUESDAY AS A COOL...UNSETTLED
WEATHER PATTERN SETS UP...MINIMUM RH VALUES WILL LOWER TO 40 PERCENT.
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL ALSO GUST OVER 30 MPH AT TIMES ON
MONDAY AND TO AROUND 25 MPH AGAIN ON TUESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-201415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
321 PM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2 AM.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......720-920 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 25 TO 30 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 11 AM...THEN SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH...BECOMING AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6130-6630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 35 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...DECREASING TO
                    AROUND 15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9130-9630 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 40 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (3920).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-201415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
321 PM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2 AM.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS AFTER
                    2 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 25 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 30 TO
                    35 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........66-73 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5790-6290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2220).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 40 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    20 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....47-52.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........44-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9080-9580 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST
                    AROUND 40 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (4030).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-201415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
321 PM EDT SUN APR 19 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN UNTIL 2 AM.
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. SHOWERS LIKELY
                    AFTER 2 AM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......32 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......610-810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 30 TO 35 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.76-1.00 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......BREEZY. SOUTHWEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6380-6880 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 35 TO 40 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2610).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 40 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    15 MPH OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......30 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......11510-12010 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...BECOMING WEST 40
                    TO 45 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (4960).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.

$$

DG



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