Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 221933
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
333 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER COOL AND BREEZY DAY IS IN STORE THURSDAY AS A
LARGE UPPER LOW SLOWLY DRIFTS NORTHEAST AWAY FROM THE GREAT LAKES.
NORTHWESTERLY WIND GUSTS 25 TO 30 MPH ARE LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON
HOURS WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 40 PERCENT. HIGH
PRESSURE BUILDING INTO THE GREAT LAKES WILL ALLOW FOR LIGHTER WINDS
FRIDAY...THOUGH STILL GUSTING TO AROUND 20 MPH AT TIMES...AS WELL AS
SLIGHTLY WARMER TEMPERATURES /THOUGH STILL COOLER THAN NORMAL/. THE
AIRMASS WILL BE DRIER AS WELL WITH RH VALUES FALLING TO AROUND 30
PERCENT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-222115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
333 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 6 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7580-8080 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 30 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7650-8150 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1810).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....23-28.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........81-91 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 5 TO 10
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-222115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
333 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY
                    UNTIL 6 PM...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
                    POP...60 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7530-8030 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7560-8060 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1870).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 AM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-85 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 20 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-222115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
333 PM EDT WED APR 22 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. POP...50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-52 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7680-8180 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 35 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (2540).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 9 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS UNTIL 7 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....26-31.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-83 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......440-640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7450-7950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 25 TO 30 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1840).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....24-29.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS AROUND 50.
NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

DT



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