Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 051953
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
353 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...RAIN CHANCES WILL DIMINISH DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY
AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY WEAKENS OVER THE AREA. RESIDUAL LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE AND EARLY DAY CLOUD COVER SHOULD HOLD DAYTIME MIN RH VALUES
IN THE 50S. MUCH WARMER AIR WILL ARRIVE BY THURSDAY AND PERSIST INTO
AT LEAST FRIDAY UNDER SOUTHERLY FLOW. HIGH TEMPS WILL LIKELY BREAK 80
BOTH THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. THESE SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL ALSO BRING A
LITTLE MORE HUMIDITY TO THE AREA...THUS KEEPING DAYTIME MIN RH VALUES
ABOVE 30 PERCENT.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-061415-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
353 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........93-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......340-540 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM UNTIL 4 PM. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER 3 PM. POP...40
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-66 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3140-3640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    2 AM UNTIL 7 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......180-380 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-81.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-43 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9870-10370 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10
                    TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1500).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-061415-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
353 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL MIDNIGHT. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 11 PM. CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. POP...60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....41-46.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......260-460 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.06-0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 3 PM...THEN A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-67 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3140-3640 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (330).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    2 AM UNTIL 7 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING UP TO 5 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-75.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8840-9340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH...INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH
                    BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1230).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-061415-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
353 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SHOWERS LIKELY AND
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......16 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......900-1100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (10).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AFTER 1 PM. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 2 PM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4850-5350 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (660).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    2 AM UNTIL 7 AM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-53.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........99 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING EAST UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......420-620 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND 0
                    MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......9190-9690 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH BY
                    AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1270).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 60. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS
AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S.

$$

SC



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