Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tampa Bay Area, FL

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000
FXUS62 KTBW 060031
AFDTBW

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
831 PM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.SHORT TERM (REST OF TONIGHT)...
ALOFT - BROAD TROUGHING EXTENDED FROM WESTERN CANADA INTO THE
WESTERN U.S. FROM CA TO THE CENTRAL ROCKIES. RIDGING REACHED FROM
THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST WHILE A WEAK TROUGH
OR OW WAS OVER SOUTHEAST FL. SURFACE - A STALLED FRONTAL BOUNDARY
STRETCHED FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES THROUGH THE MID-MISSISSIPPI
VALLEY TO SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...HIGH PRESSURE IN THE OPEN
ATLANTIC RIDGED WEST WITH AN AXIS THAT CROSSED THE MID-ATLANTIC
COAST AND CONTINUED TO THE SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...AND AN
INVERTED TROUGH WAS OVER CENTRAL CUBA AND THE BAHAMAS.

THE LIMITED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND A THUNDERSTORM OR TWO HAVE ENDED
AND WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO CLEAR ANY OVERNIGHT RAINFALL. EXPECT
SOME SHOWERS TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT BUT OVER THE EAST FL COAST. THE
SURFACE RIDGE TO THE NORTH AND THE TROUGH IN THE BAHAMAS WILL RESULT
IN EAST TO NE WINDS BECOMING NE TO NORTH LATE NIGHT.

&&

.AVIATION...
06/00Z-07/00Z. HAVE OPTED TO MAINTAIN VFR THROUGH THE
PERIOD...BUT WITH VCNTY TSRA AND FEW-SCT CB AFT 17Z THAT MAY BRING
BRIEF MVFR/LCL IFR IN THE OUTLOOK PERIOD. THE GUSTY WINDS FROM
THIS AFTERNOON WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH AS THEY BACK TO
NORTHWESTERLY BY WED AFTERNOON.

&&

.MARINE...
EAST AND NE WINDS FOR THE REST OF TONIGHT...GENERALLY 15 KNOTS OR
LESS ALTHOUGH THE NORTHERN OUTER WATERS WILL SEE 15-20 KNOTS
THROUGH THE LATE EVENING. THE NEXT FORECAST OUT BY 10 PM WITH
LITTLE CHANGE.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TPA  69  87  70  86 /  10  20  10  10
FMY  67  88  68  89 /  10  30  20  30
GIF  67  88  67  89 /  10  20   0  20
SRQ  68  85  68  86 /  10  20  10  20
BKV  63  88  62  87 /   0  20   0  10
SPG  71  86  72  86 /  10  20  10  10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM/AVIATION/MARINE...09/RUDE
DATA COLLECTION/UPPER AIR...007/DOUGHERTY
DECISION SUPPORT SERVICES...24/HUBBARD


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