Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Tulsa, OK

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FXUS64 KTSA 261635
AFDTSA

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TULSA OK
1135 AM CDT SUN APR 26 2015

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS A WARM FRONT DRAPED ACROSS
NRN TX...JUST S OF THE RED RIVER WITH THE DRYLINE
ACROSS WEST TX. OUR FORECAST AREA IS UNDER THE
INFLUENCE OF ELY TO NELY LOW-LEVEL FLOW...WITH SOME
HIGHER DEWPOINT POOLING NOTED ACROSS FAR SE OK.

IN THE NEARER TERM...LOW CLOUDS ACROSS NE OK AND FAR
NW AR ARE STARTING TO SHOW SIGNS OF LIFTING N AND
MIXING OUT...AND EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE.

WHILE THE HIGHEST RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER IS EXPECTED
TO REMAIN FARTHER S ACROSS CENTRAL TX...WE`LL NEED
TO KEEP AN EYE ON STORMS MAKING A RUN TOWARD SE OK
BY THIS EVENING. LATEST 12Z NAM AND RECENT RUNS OF
THE HRRR HAVE DELAYED THE ARRIVAL OF STORMS INTO OUR
AREA A BIT...SO HAVE TWEAKED EVENING POPS ACCORDINGLY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL   73  52  62  47 /  10  80  70  50
FSM   76  53  63  49 /  10  50  50  70
MLC   82  55  61  48 /  10  80  70  70
BVO   69  51  61  47 /  10  50  50  40
FYV   71  49  60  45 /  10  40  30  50
BYV   65  47  61  46 /  10  20  20  30
MKO   78  53  61  48 /  10  80  70  60
MIO   67  49  63  46 /  10  20  30  30
F10   77  53  59  48 /  10  80  70  70
HHW   83  56  65  50 /  10  70  70  80

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...NONE.
AR...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...18
LONG TERM....10




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