Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS53 KAPX 201935
FWFAPX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MARQUETTE MI
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

...MUCH COOLER AND OCCASIONALLY DAMP WEATHER MUCH OF THIS WEEK...

.DISCUSSION...A SLOW MOVING AREA OF LOW PRESSURE WILL BRING MUCH
COOLER TEMPERATURES AND PERSISTENT RAIN/SNOW SHOWERS THROUGH
WEDNESDAY....WITH LINGERING LIGHTER SHOWERS RIGHT THROUGH
THURSDAY.

MIZ016-017-019-021>023-210815-
EMMET...CHEBOYGAN...CHARLEVOIX...ANTRIM...OTSEGO AND MONTMORENCY
COUNTIES-
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER...EXCEPT 5 DEGREES COOLER
                    NEAR THE COAST.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.17 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SNOW SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....42-47...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1500).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.16 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER 2400
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (100).
MIXING HEIGHT.......800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 12 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.13 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40...EXCEPT 28-33 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT...EXCEPT 69-74 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1540).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ018-024-030-036-042-210815-
PRESQUE ISLE...ALPENA...ALCONA...IOSCO AND ARENAC
COUNTIES...INCLUDING EASTERN HURON NF-
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2000...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 0500.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.05 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL 1000. SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0800 UNTIL
                    1100...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....44-49...EXCEPT 37-42 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1960).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0100. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200
                    UNTIL 0300...THEN CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....31-36.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43...EXCEPT 31-36 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT...EXCEPT 64-69 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 12 PERCENT WETTER
                    ALONG THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1640).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 21 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.04 IN.


$$

MIZ020-025>027-210815-
LEELANAU...BENZIE...GRAND TRAVERSE AND KALKASKA
COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE SLEEPING BEAR DUNES NL-
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 1900...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 0200...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 15 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (70).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.05-0.17 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1300. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 1400. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1300.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-46...EXCEPT 33-38 NEAR THE COAST.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........59-64 PERCENT...EXCEPT 79-84 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1440).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 24 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.16 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2400. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT...EXCEPT 76-81 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (160).
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.13 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1700.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT...EXCEPT 66-71 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 5 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1640).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.


$$

MIZ031>033-210815-
MANISTEE...WEXFORD AND MISSAUKEE COUNTIES...INCLUDING THE
NORTHERN QUARTER OF MANISTEE NF-
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2400...THEN CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-38.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (60).
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 27 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND 15
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.18 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1200.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........58-63 PERCENT...EXCEPT 67-72 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1590).
MIXING HEIGHT.......5600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.04-0.18 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 2300.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....28-33.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-90 PERCENT...EXCEPT 70-75 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER...EXCEPT 14 PERCENT DRIER ALONG
                    THE COAST.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........FAIR (150).
MIXING HEIGHT.......900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 21 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.10 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1600.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........52-57 PERCENT...EXCEPT 62-67 PERCENT ALONG THE
                    COAST.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1600).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 21 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.07 IN.


$$

MIZ028-029-034-035-041-210815-
CRAWFORD...OSCODA...ROSCOMMON...OGEMAW AND GLADWIN
COUNTIES...INCLUDING WESTERN HURON NF-
335 PM EDT MON APR 20 2015

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER
                    2400.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (80).
MIXING HEIGHT.......600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.09 IN.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 1200. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....43-48.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........54-59 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (2060).
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 21 TO 30 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.12 IN.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
                    UNTIL 2300. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-88 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........POOR (50).
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 27 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.12 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SNOW
                    SHOWERS. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
VENT RATE...........EXCELLENT (1750).
MIXING HEIGHT.......7400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 24 MPH.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.08 IN.


$$

.EXTENDED...

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

JIT



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