Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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FNUS73 KAPX 040139
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR UNHAPPY CAMPER...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
939 PM EDT SUN MAY 3 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2135 EDT ON MAY 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...LOW LEVEL MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO GRADUALLY INCREASE
TONIGHT INTO MONDAY AS SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOP LATE
TONIGHT AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT.


.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........69 AT REQUEST...MIN 57.
RH..................48 PERCENT AT REQUEST...MAX 80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 MPH AT REQUEST...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 15
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE 0-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT REQUEST...MAX 5.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (0) AT REQUEST. MIN...POOR (0).
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL AT
                    REQUEST...OTHERWISE 0-300 FT AGL IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 18 TO 26 MPH DECREASING TO 14 TO 15
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........48  50  51  55  62  70  77  85  88  90  92  94
WEATHER COV.....                        CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....                        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............79  78  76  73  69  66  62  61  61  60  59  58
RH..............25  27  28  34  42  48  60  65  75  78  80  80
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..12  9   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT WIND GUST.25  20  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3
SMOKE DISP......230017001100600 200 0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 71.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL LATE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MAX EXCELLENT(800).
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2800-4400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 17 MPH.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........97     100    100    100    100    78
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............58     60     63     67     70     70
RH..............80     78     70     59     49     45
20 FT WIND......SW 6   SW 6   W 6    W 6    NW 6   NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     10     10     15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      3      3      4      4
SMOKE DISP......0      0      200    500    800    600

$$
FORECASTER...MONIQUE RUNYAN
REQUESTED BY...STEVE NURSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150503.UNHAP.02/APX



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