Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Goodland, KS

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FNUS73 KGLD 011920
FWSGLD

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR WHEELER...CHEYENNE  CO. DISPATCH
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
120 PM MDT WED APR 1 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1417 CDT ON APRIL 01.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITIES FALLING TO LESS THAN 15
PERCENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE AREA AND WINDS GUSTING 20 TO 30 MPH...
ELEVATED TO CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR OVER
THE ENTIRE AREA THIS AFTERNOON. CURRENT RED FLAG WARNING IS
ON TRACK. HOWEVER...A SECONDARY FIRE WEATHER THREAT
FOR SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WILL BEAR WATCHING AS THE FRONT MOVES IN.
MAIN QUESTION WILL BE IF THE RELATIVE HUMIDITIES WILL INCREASE
QUICK ENOUGH TO REDUCE THE RISK OF RAPID FIRE GROWTH LATE THIS
AFTERNOON.

THE COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA AFTER 8 PM MDT
/9 PM CDT/. EXPECT THUNDERSTORMS...SOME WITH DRY LIGHTNING...
TO DEVELOP IN THE LATE AFTERNOON PRIOR TO THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.
WINDS BEHIND THE FRONT WILL BE GUSTY...SOME WIND GUSTS WILL
APPROACH 40 MPH DURING THE EVENING.

A COOLER AND MORE MOIST AIR MASS WILL MOVE OVER THE HIGH PLAINS
THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 40 MPH INCREASING TO 22 TO 31 MPH LATE
                    IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST 9 TO
                    18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 8 MPH
                    LATE IN THE NIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING.
CWR.................50 PERCENT INCREASING TO 60 PERCENT EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING...THEN DECREASING TO 40 PERCENT
                    LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT
                    LATE IN THE EVENING DECREASING TO 10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 6 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WINDY. NORTH WINDS 20 TO 29 MPH INCREASING TO
                    22 TO 31 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    BECOMING NORTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE
                    NIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........88     94     82     51     73     65
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE NUMEROUS SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE SCTTRD
TEMP............73     61     51     47     43     39
RH..............21     36     55     66     69     75
20 FT WIND......N 20   N 29   N 30   N 22   NE 15  NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.30     40     40     30     20     10
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 12   N 17   N 18   N 13   NE 9   NE 5
EYE LVL WND GST.30     40     40     30     20     10
HAINES INDEX....6      5      3      2      3      4

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........34 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....EAST WINDS 7 TO 15 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........57     61     66     70     76     81
WEATHER COV.....                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV........
TEMP............37     42     49     53     54     53
RH..............79     59     42     34     34     36
20 FT WIND......N 7    NE 8   NE 9   E 9    E 9    E 13
20 FT WIND GUST.       10     10     10     10     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..N 4    NE 5   NE 5   E 5    E 5    E 8
EYE LVL WND GST.       10     10     10     10     15
HAINES INDEX....2      3      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...WFO GLD
REQUESTED BY...DAN BLAIR
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150401.WHEEL.01/GLD



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