Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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000
FNUS76 KLOX 062151
FWSLOX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLCR - LAC...LAC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOS ANGELES/OXNARD CA
251 PM PDT WED MAY 6 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 PDT ON MAY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL DROP SOUTHWARD FROM
OREGON TO THE SAN JOAQUIN VALLEY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. UNSTABLE
AIR WILL HELP GENERATE ISOLATED SHOWERS EARLY THURSDAY WITH A
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON. MOST
ACTIVITY WILL REMAIN OVER THE MOUNTAINS BUT THERE WILL BE A RISK
OF A CELL OR TWO DRIFTING NEAR THE BURN LOCATION. OTHERWISE...COOL
AND BREEZY CONDITIONS EXPECTED.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...THEN A CHANCE OF
    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........54 AT IGNITION...MAX 63.
RH..................74 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......WINDS SOUTH AT 13 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 28
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4300 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO 7600
    FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 12 MPH.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48-50.
RH..................MAX 85-90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    25 MPH...DIMINISHING TO 5-10 MPH LATE IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.

$$
FORECASTER...BOLDT
REQUESTED BY...CA  MICHAEL VELAZQUEZ
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150507.FLCRL.01/LOX





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