Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FNUS74 KMOB 242038
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 443...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
338 PM CDT FRI APR 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1525 CDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH FLOW IN THE MIXED LAYER LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT AS SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE DRIFTS OFF TO THE EAST
OF THE REGION. THIS WILL MAINTAIN RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS WELL ABOVE
CRITICAL VALUES THROUGH TONIGHT.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LIGHT TO MODERATE FOG
DEVELOPMENT LIKELY THE NEXT FEW NIGHTS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND
                    SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 100 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....39 DECREASING TO 7.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 5.
STABILITY CLASS.....C BECOMING E IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING D
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........69     71     71     71     83     83
WEATHER COV.......S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............80     75     69     68     69     69
RH................60     63     80     86     87     88
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    S
20 FT WIND SPD....6      5      5      5      6      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......4000   2300   500    500    300    100
MIX HGT (M).......1220   700    150    150    90     30
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    S
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     7      9      9      10     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      3      4      4      4      4
DISPERSION........39     5      6      6      9      9
LVORI.............1      3      4      4      5      5
STABILITY CLASS...C      E      E      E      D      D
CWR...............20     30     30     30     40     40

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND SHOWERS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 12 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2500 FT AGL LATE IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 4900 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 2400 FT
                    AGL LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH INCREASING TO
                    SOUTHWEST 18 TO 22 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 66 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 39 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5 INCREASING TO 6 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    DECREASING TO 3 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
                    TO 1 IN THE AFTERNOON.
STABILITY CLASS.....D BECOMING C.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........83     89     89     89     83     83
WEATHER COV.......CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE......TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM TSTORM
TEMP..............69     70     73     78     81     82
RH................90     88     80     68     60     57
20 FT WIND DIR....S      SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW    SSW
20 FT WIND SPD....6      6      8      8      10     9
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......100    100    2500   2500   4900   2400
MIX HGT (M).......30     30     760    760    1490   730
TRANSP WIND DIR...S      SSW    SSW    SSW    SW     SW
TRANSP WIND SPD...10     10     17     17     22     18
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      8      8      10     8
DISPERSION........9      0      37     37     66     39
LVORI.............5      6      3      3      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...D      C      C      C      C      C
CWR...............40     50     50     50     30     30

$$
FORECASTER...12
REQUESTED BY...JAY BOYKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150424.CHICK.03/MOB



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