Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Elko, NV

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49
000
FXUS65 KLKN 270947
AFDLKN

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ELKO NV
247 AM PDT MON APR 27 2015

.SYNOPSIS...STRONG HIGH PRESSURE BUILDING EAST FROM THE PACIFIC WILL
BRING MUCH WARMER WEATHER TO THE SILVER STATE OVER THE NEXT FEW
DAYS. A WEAK SYSTEM COULD THEN BRING A FEW SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS
TO NEVADA TOWARDS NEXT WEEKEND.

&&

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. RIDGE AXIS AT PRESENT IS
ALIGNED ALONG THE WEST COAST...BUT PUSHING EASTWARD AS THE TROUGH
CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY TO THE EAST. HEIGHTS WILL CONTINUE TO CLIMB
TODAY AS WARMER AIR MOVES IN ALOFT...RESULTING IN A MOSTLY SUNNY AND
DRY DAY ACROSS THE REGION WITH TEMPERATURES 10-15 DEGREES WARMER
THAN SUNDAY IN MANY AREAS. WINDS WILL ALSO BE MUCH LIGHTER WITH THE
HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL. WITH THE RIDGE IN CONTROL...LIGHT WINDS
AND CLEAR SKIES WILL PROMOTE SEASONABLY CHILLY TEMPERATURES TONIGHT
AS RADIATIONAL COOLING MAXES OUT. RIDGE AXIS PUSHES EAST OVER THE
CWA ON TUESDAY WITH EVEN WARMER TEMPERATURES...IN FACT...HIGHS
TUESDAY SHOULD BE ANOTHER 10 DEGREES OR SO ABOVE TODAY`S EXPECTED
HIGHS. ONCE AGAIN CLOUDS WILL BE FEW AND WINDS WILL BE LIGHT.

BY WEDNESDAY THINGS CHANGE A BIT...WITH THE RIDGE AXIS NOW OVER THE
FOUR CORNERS AND A FEW WEAK TROUGHS PUSHING EAST INTO THE PACIFIC
COAST. THIS WILL INCREASE THE MOISTURE AND PROMOTE INSTABILITY AS
TEMPERATURES COOL A BIT ALOFT...BUT NOT YET AT THE SURFACE. THE
RESULT MAY BE AN ISOLATED SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM DURING THE
AFTERNOON WEDNESDAY...MOST LIKELY CONFINED TO AREAS NORTH OF
INTERSTATE 80. HIGHS WILL AGAIN BE WARM...BUT WHILE IT LOOKED LIKE
80 WAS POSSIBLE THE OTHER DAY...NOW TEMPERATURES APPEAR TO STAY JUST
A BIT COOLER WITH HIGH 70S IN MOST VALLEYS. WITH THE TROUGHS
APPROACHING...WINDS WILL INCREASE A BIT...NOT REALLY AN IMPACT BUT
DEFINITELY NOTICEABLY GUSTIER. RCM

.LONG TERM...WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH NEXT SUNDAY. MODELS ARE
DEPICTING THE RIDGE AXIS EAST OF THE STATE. NORTHERN NEVADA WILL
BE UNDER SOUTHWEST FLOW ALOFT...WITH LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE
CREEPING INTO THE REGION. NV CONVERGENCE ZONE WILL BRING A SLIGHT
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN CENTRAL AND EAST-CENTRAL
NEVADA THURSDAY AFTERNOON. HIGHS ARE EXPECTED TO BE IN THE LOW TO
MID 70S WITH LIGHT WINDS.

BY THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY...THE RIDGE IS FORECAST TO REMAIN
ACROSS NEW MEXICO...WITH MODELS CONTINUING TO SHOW A WEAK TROUGH
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC. THE RESULTING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW
ALOFT WILL KEEP THE LOW TO MID-LEVEL MOISTURE TRICKLING INTO THE
REGION. THE NVCZ WILL HELP TO BRING A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN IN THE CENTRAL AND EAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS
WILL BE IN THE LOW 70S.

FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY...MODELS KEEP THE UPPER TROUGH ACROSS
THE EASTERN PACIFIC WITH SOUTHWEST FLOW OVER NORTHERN NEVADA. HAVE
KEPT A SLIGHT CHANCE FOR SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS DURING EACH
AFTERNOON AS THE NVCZ DOES NOT EXHIBIT MUCH DAY-TO-DAY MOVEMENT.
AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOW 70S
WITH OVERNIGHT LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S TO MID 30S DEPENDING ON
LOCATION.

&&

.AVIATION...VFR CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED THROUGH THE NEXT 24
HOURS.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

93/86/86


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.