Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 011917
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
317 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.DISCUSSION...UNFAVORABLE FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST INTO
EARLY SATURDAY AS A COLD FRONT BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL...ESPECIALLY TOWARD THE SAGINAW VALLEY...ON THURSDAY
FOLLOWED BY WIDESPREAD WETTING RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT. SOUTH WINDS GUSTING
TO 30 MPH AHEAD OF THE FRONT ON THURSDAY WILL BE REPLACED BY
COMAPRATIVELY LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW AROUND 10 MPH FRIDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-012115-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
317 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3750-4250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (30400).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 2 PM. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    SHOWERS AFTER 2 PM. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-63 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2590-3090 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    25 TO 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (112210).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-98 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......240-440 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (300).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-012115-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
317 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-50.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......13 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3310-3810 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (29960).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........77-87 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......220-420 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`FAIR` (200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM UNTIL 11 AM...THEN
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS
                    AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2220-2720 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 30 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (99200).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........85-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......140-340 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-012115-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
317 PM EDT WED APR 1 2015

.REST OF THE AFTERNOON...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4790-5290 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (54950).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........83-93 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2 PM...THEN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS. POP...100 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....63-68.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3750-4250 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    30 TO 35 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (199120).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.26-0.50 IN.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 10 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 2 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST AROUND 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......120-320 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.01-0.05 IN.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WEST WINDS AROUND
10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S.

$$

JVC



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