Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22
000
FNUS74 KMOB 042048
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHICK CPT 407...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
348 PM CDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1605 CDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE.

...HIGH DISPERSION AROUND 75 EXPECTED TUESDAY AFTERNOON ACROSS
THE BURN AREA...

.DISCUSSION...A SURFACE RIDGE EXTENDING FROM THE WESTERN ATLANTIC
ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES WILL CREATE A GENERAL EAST TO SOUTHEAST
FLOW IN THE MIXING LAYER THROUGH MIDWEEK. AFTERNOON DISPERSION WILL BE
GOOD TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...PATCHY LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING
FOG LIKELY FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS...WITH VISIBILITIES REDUCED TO AS
LOW AS ONE MILE IN LOW-LYING AND OTHER FOG PRONE AREAS.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 1.
LVORI...............1 INCREASING TO 8.
STABILITY CLASS.....C EARLY BECOMING F.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%)...........19     21     21     21     17     17
WEATHER COV.......                            PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FOG    FOG
TEMP..............78     71     66     64     62     61
RH................45     65     79     86     90     94
20 FT WIND DIR....SE     SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE    ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....10     5      4      4      2      2
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......5200   100    200    200    300    300
MIX HGT (M).......1580   30     60     60     90     90
TRANSP WIND DIR...SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE    SSE    ESE
TRANSP WIND SPD...9      9      6      6      3      3
TRANS SPD (M/S)...4      4      3      3      1      1
DISPERSION........37     5      3      3      1      1
LVORI.............1      3      5      5      7      8
STABILITY CLASS...C      F      F      F      F      F
CWR...............10     10     10     10     10     10

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 84.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST-SOUTHEAST 6 TO 8 MPH
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7600 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........EAST 3 TO 5 MPH INCREASING TO 16 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 76.
LVORI...............8 DECREASING TO 1.
STABILITY CLASS.....F BECOMING B IN THE MORNING...THEN BECOMING C
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON BECOMING B LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%)...........17     28     28     28     27     27
WEATHER COV.......PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE......FOG    NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP..............59     65     75     80     83     83
RH................98     79     57     48     43     43
20 FT WIND DIR....ESE    E      E      E      E      ESE
20 FT WIND SPD....2      3      5      5      8      6
20 FT WIND GUST...
MIX HGT (FT)......300    300    2800   2800   5200   7600
MIX HGT (M).......90     90     850    850    1580   2320
TRANSP WIND DIR...ESE    E      E      E      E      SE
TRANSP WIND SPD...3      5      16     16     15     10
TRANS SPD (M/S)...1      2      7      7      7      4
DISPERSION........1      2      57     57     65     76
LVORI.............8      5      1      1      1      1
STABILITY CLASS...F      B      B      B      C      B
CWR...............10     0      0      0      0      0

$$
FORECASTER...22
REQUESTED BY...JAY BOYKIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150504.CHICK.02/MOB



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.