Extended Streamflow Guidance
Issued by NWS

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FGUS65 KSTR 031919
ESGUT

National Weather Service
Colorado Basin River Forecast Center
Salt Lake City, Utah
April 3, 2015

                       FLOOD POTENTIAL OUTLOOK
                                UTAH


The 2015 spring runoff flood potential due to snowmelt is not high at this time
for the Great Basin, as well as the Sevier, Virgin, Price/San Rafael, and the
Duchesne River Basins.

Current snowpack conditions in the below basins are below average.  Current
seasonal snowpack conditions as a percent of median are:

Virgin River Basin               35%
Sevier River Basin               45%
Price/San Rafael River Basin     40%
Duchesne River Basin             40%
Great Basin
--Bear River Basin               45%
--Weber River Basin              40%
--Six Creeks Basin               35%
--Utah Lake                      30%

No sites are currently forecasted to reach flood or bankfull stage at this time.

Specific forecast procedures and flood flow levels do not exist for all streams.
Given current snowpack conditions, below average peaks may be anticipated
throughout the state

Current volume forecasts for the April through July runoff period are below
average for much of the state.  In particular, volume forecastsin the southern
portion of the state and Great Basin are well below average.

It should be emphasized that snow conditions could change significantly before
seasonal runoff begins. While spring temperatures affect the pattern of
snowmelt runoff and, consequently, the magnitude of peak flows, peak flows also
approximately correspond to volumetric flows. It is also important to recognize
that an extended period of much above average temperaturesor heavy rainfall
during the melt period can cause or exacerbate flooding problems in any year.

A list of specific spring peak flow forecasts are available at:
http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/rmap/peak/peaklist.php

A map of the current spring peak flow forecasts is available at:
http://www.cbrfc.noaa.gov/lmap/lmap.php?interface=peak


CBRFC/W.P. Miller, A.Nielson, T. Cox

NNNN
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