Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 050742
FWFGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
342 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

...SHOWERS AND STORMS...

.DISCUSSION...SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED STORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS SOUTHERN
LOWER MICHIGAN TODAY. A HALF TO AN INCH OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE BY TONIGHT.




MIZ037>039-043>045-052015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
342 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......29 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1500 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-500 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.37 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......22 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    1900-2400 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.15 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
                    2300-2800 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200 (FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ040-046-052015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
342 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-65.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........39-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......28 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.29 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-47.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...LIGHT WINDS BECOMING EAST AROUND 6 MPH
                    OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.02-0.12 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
   24 HR TREND......9 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500-3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-052015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
342 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
   24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-56 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......6 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300 (GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.34-0.68 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....46-51.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.35 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1600...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
   24 HR TREND......13 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2200-2700 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3000-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO
                    6600-7100 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-052015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
342 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........53-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...200-300 (FAIR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.20-0.54 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.37 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-73.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......1 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3700-4200 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-200 (POOR TO FAIR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.03 IN.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-052015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
342 AM EDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS AND A
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........56-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......14 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...EAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800-2300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...300-400 (GOOD TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.32-0.65 IN.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY UNTIL 0200. CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
                    CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AFTER 0200.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 51.
   24 HR TREND......1 DEGREE COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-96 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......800-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...100 (POOR).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.18-0.45 IN.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-76.
   24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY
                    BECOMING LIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500-7000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...100-400 (POOR TO GOOD).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE TO 0.02 IN.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH
SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY WITH SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 70S.



$$






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