Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Gaylord, MI

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000
FNUS73 KAPX 272039
FWSAPX

SPOT FORECAST FOR WALKER ROAD...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GAYLORD MI
439 PM EDT MON APR 27 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON APRIL 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WIDESPREAD CLOUD COVER WILL BE FOUND ACROSS THE AREA
TO START TUESDAY...SLOWLY DISSIPATING TOWARD MIDDAY OR EARLY
AFTERNOON. LIGHT NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS EARLY WILL TURN
SOUTHEAST SOMETIME AROUND NOON AS THE LAKE BREEZE COMES INLAND...
THOUGH SPEEDS SHOULD BE MUCH LIGHTER THAN THOSE NOTED THE PAST FEW
DAYS. IN ADDITION...WITH THE FLOW OFF LAKE HURON...MINIMUM
HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGHER THAN RECENT DAYS.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT) FOR THE MORNING
                    THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) BY
                    EARLY AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........44 AT IGNITION...MAX 62.
RH..................76 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 3 MPH AT IGNITION...
                    BECOMING SOUTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH TOWARD MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...INCREASING TO AROUND
                    4200 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (100) AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD (300).

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........90  80  75  64  62  61  54  40  33
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............44  49  53  57  59  61  61  61  60
RH..............76  66  59  51  49  44  44  44  46
20 FT WIND DIR..NW  NW  NW  N   NE  E   E   E   SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   4   4   3   2   2   4   7   8
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   10  10
HAINES INDEX....4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......100 200 200 300 200 200 200 100 100

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 35.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    CALM.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 2 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 2 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200-1100 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........MIN 2.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....MIN POOR(0).

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........33  32  32  33  34  36  38  39  40  42  47  52
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............58  55  52  50  48  45  42  40  38  37  36  35
RH..............49  53  59  63  68  79  89  96  100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..8   7   7   6   6   4   3   2   1   1   0   0
20 FT WIND GUST.10  10  10  10      5   5
HAINES INDEX....3   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
SMOKE DISP......100 100 100 0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...DAVID LAWRENCE
REQUESTED BY...JIM FISHER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150428.WALKE.01/APX



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