Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Burlington, VT

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000
FNUS71 KBTV 041921
FWSBTV

SPOT FORECAST FOR FRANKLIN COUNTY NY FIRE...FEDERAL OR STATE AGENCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BURLINGTON VT
321 PM EDT MON MAY 4 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1508 EDT ON MAY 04.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
RED FLAG CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON HOURS...WITH
LOWEST AFTERNOON RH VALUES IN THE 20 TO 30 PERCENT RANGE AND GUSTY
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 30 MPH.

A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACH THE WILDFIRE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING.
EXPECT LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND 7-8 PM THIS EVENING...PRODUCING WET
SOILS AND EXCELLENT RH RECOVERY. WINDS SHIFT TO WEST AND BECOME
LESS GUSTY BEHIND THE FRONT.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS LATE...THEN A CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    LATE.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO
                    30 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          4 PM
SKY (%).............62
WEATHER COV.........S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR
TSTM COV............
TEMP................78
RH..................26
20 FT WIND..........SW 20
20 FT WIND GUST.....30
CHC OF PCPN (%).....20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SHOWERS
                    LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
BEGIN/END OF PCPN...
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 8 TO 17 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 30
                    MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............83     100    100    97     91     68
WEATHER COV.........CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE........RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................74     69     65     60     56     51
RH..................32     42     54     69     83     93
20 FT WIND..........SW 17  W 12   W 10   W 9    W 7    NW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....30     25     20     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).....50     60     60     50     30     10

$$
FORECASTER...LOCONTO
REQUESTED BY...EM
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150504.FRANK.01/BTV



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