Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
000
TXUS20 KNES 050637
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TXZ000-NMZ000-
.
SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 05/05/15 0637Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-E 0630Z  GOES-W 0630Z GG
.
LOCATION...W TEXAS...E NEW MEXICO...
.
ATTN WFOS...SJT...LUB...MAF...ABQ...EPZ...
ATTN RFCS...ABRFC...WGRFC...
.
EVENT...FF THREAT WANING TO EAST BUT NEW DEVELOPMENT WEST POSES INCREASED
THREAT FOR AFFECTED AREA IN LATER EARLY MORNING HOURS
.
SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...RECENT UPWARD TREND FOR NEW ISOLATED
CONVECTION ALONG EXITING BOUNDARY ON LEADING EDGE OF NEXT S/W EJECTING
FROM BASE OF THE TROF IN SE AZ INTO SW NM.  SWIR AND SFC/850 FLOW ANALYSIS
SHOW STRONG SSELY SFC FLOW AND  LLJ BACKING TOWARD SE NM AND EASTERN
PORTIONS OF WEST TX PANHANDLE.  VERY IMPRESSIVE DEEP MST CONVERGENCE
AXIS APPEARS TO BE MAIN FOCUS  FROM ONGOING CONVECTIVE WEDGE NEAR DAWSON
COUNTY TX BACK THROUGH SE NM TO JUST E OF EL PASO.  UNDER THIS FLOW
REGIME ADDITIONAL TCU OR SHALLOW CONVECTION APPEAR TO BE FILLING THE GAPS
BETWEEN THE NEW LINE AND THE OLDER CONVECTION.   RAP ANALYSIS INDICATES
THERE IS SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY  FOR CONTINUED GROWTH AND EXPANSION AS
IT PROGRESSES ENE INTO TX TOWARD THE AREAS ALREADY HIGHLY AFFECTED ALONG
LUB/MAF CWA LINE.   ADDITIONALLY WITH SUBTROPICAL RIDGE DUE SOUTH OF
THE AREA AND VERY DIFFLUENT FLOW IN THE POLAR STREAM CONTINUES TO ALLOW
BEST OUTFLOW/DIVERGENCE TO SHIFT BACK WESTWARD TOWARD THE SE NM CORNER
INCREASING UPDRAFT STRENGTH AND WITH MST FLUX OF 1.2" TPW SHOULD ALLOW
FOR EFFICIENT RAINFALL PROCESSES AS BEFORE FOR POTENTIAL FOR HIGH TOTALS.

AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
.
SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 0630-0930Z...MEDIUM HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...WITH S/W OVER NE NM CONTINUING TO LIFT N AND
NNW AND NEW EJECTING S/W A BIT FURTHER SW... EXPECT CONVECTIVE WEDGE TO
CONTINUE DOWNWARD/WARMING TREND UNTIL FADING INTO THE BROADER MDT SHIELD
PRECIPITATION SEEN ALONG THE WARM CONVEYOR BEING PULLED N THEN NW TOWARD
AMA CWA AND NE NM.     EVENTUALLY... THE WESTERN NEW CONVECTION  WILL
ALSO PROGRESS E  LIKELY MERGING WITH THIS BROADER UPGLIDE AREA TOWARD
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS OVER THE SOUTHERN CAP ROCK REGION.
.
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
.
FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
.
FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
.
FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
.
LAT...LON 3482 10456 3435 10212 3332 9976 3141 10073 3226 10567

.
NNNN


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.