Public Information Statement
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
NOUS43 KGID 201559
PNSGID
KSZ005>007-017>019-NEZ039>041-046>049-060>064-072>077-082>087-
210400-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
1059 AM CDT MON APR 20 2015

...MULTI-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS FROM APRIL 16-20 ACROSS THE NWS
HASTINGS COVERAGE AREA...

EARLY-MID LAST WEEK...FORECASTS STARTED TO ADVERTISE THAT MOST OF
SOUTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA AND NORTH CENTRAL KANSAS WOULD LIKELY
RECEIVE BETWEEN 1-3 INCHES OF RAINFALL BETWEEN APRIL 16-20. SO NOW
THAT THE RAIN HAS MOVED OUT...HOW DID THAT FORECAST WORK OUT?

AS CAN BE SEEN IN THE LIST OF MULTI-DAY RAINFALL TOTALS
BELOW...YES IN FACT MUCH OF THE LOCAL 30-COUNTY NWS HASTINGS
COVERAGE AREA RECEIVED BETWEEN 1-3 INCHES. BASED ON THE TOTALS
BELOW ALONG WITH AHPS PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS DATA...THE HIGHEST
AMOUNTS MAINLY FELL WITHIN COUNTIES ALONG AND ESPECIALLY WEST OF
THE HIGHWAY 281 CORRIDOR. THIS WAS GREAT NEWS...AS MANY OF THESE
COUNTIES HAD BEEN THE OVERALL-DRIEST DURING THE PAST SEVERAL
MONTHS. ALTHOUGH ACTUAL GAUGE DATA BELOW DOES NOT NECESSARILY
REFLECT IT...AHPS PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS WHICH UTILIZES RADAR
RAINFALL ESTIMATES SHOWS THAT THE MOST CONCENTRATED ZONE OF 2-3+
INCH RAINFALL TOTALS LIKELY FELL WITHIN A TRIANGLE-SHAPED ZONE
BETWEEN THE TRI CITIES OF GRAND ISLAND...HASTINGS AND KEARNEY. ON
THE OTHER END OF THE SPECTRUM...UNFORTUNATELY THERE WERE SEVERAL
COUNTIES MAINLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 281 THAT AVERAGED LESS THAN 1
INCH...AND IN SOME CASES LESS THAN ONE-HALF INCH. A FEW OF THE
LOCAL COUNTIES THAT REALLY "MISSED OUT" ON THE HIGHER AMOUNTS
INCLUDED FILLMORE/THAYER IN NEBRASKA...AND OSBORNE IN KANSAS.

ALTHOUGH THE SCIENCE OF FORECASTING HAS GOTTEN BETTER OVER THE
YEARS AT PREDICTING "GENERAL" RAINFALL POTENTIAL ACROSS LARGE
AREAS...IT IS VIRTUALLY IMPOSSIBLE TO PREDICT IN ADVANCE "EXACTLY"
HOW MUCH RAIN WILL FALL OVER THE COURSE OF SEVERAL DAYS AT ANY
SPECIFIC...GIVEN LOCATION. THIS IS LARGELY DUE TO THE FACT THAT
HEAVIER SHOWER/THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY HAPPENS ON VERY SMALL SCALES.
AS A RESULT...IT IS NOT UNCOMMON THAT LOCATIONS EVEN WITHIN 1
MILE (OR LESS) OF EACH OTHER CAN SOMETIMES HAVE SIGNIFICANTLY-
VARYING AMOUNTS.

AHPS PRECIPITATION ANALYSIS CAN BE FOUND AT:
HTTP://WATER.WEATHER.GOV/PRECIP

REGARDING THE DATA BELOW: UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED...ALL TOTALS ARE
FROM OFFICIAL NWS COOPERATIVE OBSERVERS.


- LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED 2.00 INCHES OR MORE:

3.15...5WSW WOOD RIVER (NERAIN OBSERVER)
2.81...MINDEN
2.58...LOGAN KS
2.49...CANADAY STEAM PLANT (6SSE LEXINGTON IN GOSPER COUNTY)
2.42...2W DONIPHAN (NERAIN OBSERVER)
2.39...10NNE ARAPAHOE (NERAIN OBSERVER)
2.31...KEARNEY AIRPORT
2.18...LEXINGTON AIRPORT (AUTOMATED AWOS)
2.15...ORLEANS (NERAIN OBSERVER)
2.00...HASTINGS NWS OFFICE


- LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED BETWEEN 1.00-1.99 INCHES:

1.93...EDISON
1.80...8S ELWOOD
1.78...HOLDREGE
1.77...NAPONEE
1.70...ST. PAUL
1.65...PHILLIPSBURG KS
1.63...HASTINGS AIRPORT (OFFICIAL HASTINGS TOTAL)
1.58...WILSONVILLE
1.50...LOUP CITY
1.47...RAVENNA
1.37...GREELEY
1.26...SUPERIOR
1.21...GRAND ISLAND AIRPORT (OFFICIAL GRAND ISLAND TOTAL)
1.18...BELOIT KS
1.18...LEBANON KS
1.06...OSCEOLA
1.05...4N AURORA
1.04...IONIA KS


- LOCATIONS THAT RECEIVED LESS THAN 1.00 INCH:

0.90...6ESE CLAY CENTER
0.87...BRADSHAW
0.86...CLAY CENTER
0.85...AURORA AIRPORT (AUTOMATED AWOS)
0.84...JEWELL KS
0.81...BRUNING
0.78...3N YORK
0.76...FRANKLIN
0.64...BURR OAK KS
0.62...3NE SHELBY
0.53...CENTRAL CITY
0.53...HEBRON
0.48...CAWKER CITY KS
0.36...2SW ALTON KS
0.34...SMITH CENTER KS
0.26...GENEVA

$$

PFANNKUCH



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