Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Shreveport, LA

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000
FXUS64 KSHV 052106
AFDSHV

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SHREVEPORT LA
406 PM CDT TUE MAY 5 2015

.DISCUSSION...
A COMBINATION OF A WEAK INVERTED SFC TROUGH AND DIVERGENCE ALOFT
HAS CONTRIBUTED TO SHWRS AND TSTMS DEVELOPING AND SPREADING NWRD
THIS AFTERNOON OVER ROUGHLY THE WRN HALF OF OUR REGION...MAINLY
OVER OUR FAR WRN EDGE OF NE TX FROM RUSK AND JACKSONVILLE NORTH
TO TYLER AND MINEOLA. MORE ISOLD ACTIVITY IS FOUND FARTHER EAST
NEAR TOLEDO BEND COUNTRY IN DEEP E TX AND FAR WRN LA. THEREFORE...
HAVE CONTINUED SLIGHT CHANCE TO MID CHANCE POPS OVERNIGHT DESPITE
DECREASING INSTABILITY AFTER SUNSET. CLOUDS WILL ALSO LINGER OVER
MUCH OF THE REGION AS DEEP SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO SEND OUR
DEW POINTS HIGHER...ESPECIALLY ALONG AND SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 20.

A SIMILAR TREND WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK AS WE
REMAIN SANDWICHED BETWEEN THE UPPER TROF TO OUR WEST AND THE UPPER
RIDGE TO OUR EAST...MEANING SLIGHTLY BETTER RAIN CHANCES WILL
REMAIN OVER OUR WRN HALF AS ADDITIONAL WEAK DISTURBANCES AND
DAYTIME INSTABILITY COMBINE TO PRODUCE SCATTERED SHWRS AND TSTMS.
A MORE WIDESPREAD CHANCE FOR RAINFALL WILL HOLD OFF UNTIL VERY LATE
IN THE WEEKEND THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH A COLD FRONT SWEEPING
SOUTH INTO OUR REGION ON MONDAY. UNTIL THEN...TEMPERATURES WILL
CONTINUE TO RUN ABOVE NORMAL DESPITE THE INCREASED CLOUD COVER AND
SLIGHTLY HIGHER RAIN CHANCES. /19/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  66  82  66  85 /  20  30  10  20
MLU  62  84  65  86 /  10  10  10  20
DEQ  65  78  65  82 /  30  30  10  20
TXK  65  80  66  84 /  20  30  20  20
ELD  63  82  66  85 /  10  10  10  20
TYR  67  81  67  83 /  40  30  20  30
GGG  67  81  66  83 /  30  30  20  30
LFK  68  84  68  85 /  20  30  20  30

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...NONE.
LA...NONE.
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.
&&

$$

19


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