Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS North Platte, NE

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
000
AXUS73 KLBF 170025
DGTLBF
NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-202359-

DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTH PLATTE NE
900 AM CDT THU APR 16 2015

...MODERATE DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHWESTERN...AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA...

.SYNOPSIS...

UNSEASONABLY WARM AND DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUED ACROSS WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA DURING THE LATTER HALF OF MARCH AND THE FIRST
HALF OF APRIL. AFTER RECORD DRYNESS IN MARCH...SOME LIMITED
PRECIPITATION FELL ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA IN
EARLY APRIL. FOR MOST LOCATIONS...AROUND A HALF AN INCH OF
PRECIPITATION FELL DURING THE FIRST TWO WEEKS OF THE MONTH.
TEMPERATURES HAVE REMAINED WELL ABOVE NORMAL DURING THE FIRST HALF
OF APRIL...SO GROUND MOISTURE HAS CONTINUED TO BE DEPLETED. OVER THE
NEXT 24 TO 72 HOURS...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY AS A
POWERFUL UPPER LEVEL LOW TRACKS FROM THE CENTRAL ROCKIES ONTO THE
CENTRAL PLAINS.


.LOCAL AREAS AFFECTED...

AS OF APRIL 16...ACCORDING TO THE US DROUGHT MONITOR...MODERATE
DROUGHT IS OCCURRING ACROSS TWO SECTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE FIRST EXTENDS FROM SOUTHEAST CHASE THROUGH
ALL OF HAYES...FRONTIER AND SOUTHEAST CUSTER COUNTY. A SECOND
AREA OF MODERATE DROUGHT WAS OCCURRING ALONG THE NIOBRARA VALLEY
FROM NORTHEAST CHERRY COUNTY EASTWARD INTO NORTHERN ROCK AND
NORTHERN BROWN COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ALL OF KEYA PAHA AND BOYD
COUNTIES. ABNORMALLY DRY CONDITIONS INCLUDE AREAS EAST OF A LINE
FROM BIG SPRINGS TO MERRIMAN.


.CLIMATE SUMMARY...

SUMMARY OF RECENT MONTHLY RAINFALL CONDITIONS FROM SELECTED
STATIONS ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. THE SUMMARY
INCLUDES THE PREVIOUS 12 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...APRIL 2014 TO
MARCH 2015...THE PREVIOUS 6 MONTH PRECIPITATION TOTALS...OCTOBER
2014 TO MARCH 2015...THE PREVIOUS 3 MONTH PRECIPITATION
TOTALS...JANUARY TO MARCH...AND THE PRECIPITATION TOTALS SO FAR IN
APRIL...THROUGH APRIL 14.

              12 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES       6 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       APR-MAR  NORMAL   DEP   |  OCT-MAR  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE    20.43   20.23  +0.20   |    2.60    4.49   -1.89
VALENTINE       21.29   20.02  +1.27   |    2.66    4.08   -1.42
BROKEN BOW *    18.86   23.62  -4.76   |    2.87    5.70   -2.83
IMPERIAL   *    18.15   19.14  -0.99   |    1.64    4.12   -2.48

               3 MONTH PRECIP/INCHES     THRU APR 14 PRECIP/INCHES

LOCATION       JAN-MAR  NORMAL   DEP   |   APR 14  NORMAL    DEP
NORTH PLATTE     0.75    1.89  -1.14   |    0.66    0.88   -0.22
VALENTINE        0.65    1.81  -1.16   |    0.54    0.86   -0.32
BROKEN BOW *     0.60    2.41  -1.81   |    0.64    1.02   -0.38
IMPERIAL   *     0.56    1.75  -1.19   |    0.51    0.76   -0.25

PRIMARY LOCATION OF PRECIPITATION DATA IS FROM THE AUTOMATED
SENSORS AT THE AIRPORT.
*  PRECIPITATION DATA INCLUDES A COMBINATION OF AUTOMATED SENSORS
   AND COOPERATIVE DATA.

AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR THE LAST 3 MONTHS SAW A RANGE FROM ABOVE
NORMAL TO BELOW NORMAL.

                           AVERAGE TEMPERATURE/DEGREE F

LOCATION      JAN  NORMAL  DEP | FEB  NORMAL  DEP | MAR  NORMAL  DEP
NORTH PLATTE  27.2  25.0  +2.2 | 27.8  29.0  -1.2 | 43.5  38.0  +5.5
VALENTINE     25.0  23.6  +1.4 | 25.8  27.2  -1.4 | 42.6  36.2  +6.4
BROKEN BOW    28.8  25.5  +3.3 | 26.8  28.0  -1.2 | 43.3  37.7  +5.6
IMPERIAL      30.3  28.3  +2.0 | 31.7  31.5  +0.2 | 45.4  39.8  +5.6


.RIVER AND RESERVOIR CONDITIONS...

RIVERS AND STREAMS IN THE REPUBLICAN RIVER BASIN ACROSS SOUTHWEST
NEBRASKA WERE RUNNING WELL BELOW NORMAL...GENERALLY RUNNING IN
THE 5TH TO 24TH PERCENTILES. OTHER PORTIONS OF WESTERN AND NORTH
CENTRAL NEBRASKA HAVE SEEN DECREASES IN STREAMFLOW SINCE
FEBRUARY. MANY OF THE RIVERS AND STREAMS ARE NOW RUNNING IN THE
8TH TO 25TH PERCENTILES.

GROUNDWATER DEPTHS VARY ACROSS WESTERN AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA
FROM WELL BELOW NORMAL TO ABOVE NORMAL...HOWEVER THE MAJORITY OF
THE AREA IS SEEING NEAR OR BELOW NORMAL DEPTHS. LOCATIONS WITH
THE LOWEST READINGS ARE BEING MEASURED ACROSS THE REPUBLICAN
RIVER BASIN IN SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA WHERE VALUES ARE LESS THAN THE
10TH PERCENTILE


.FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

AS OF THE SECOND WEEK OF APRIL...THE THREAT OF LARGE FIRE GROWTH
CONTINUES AS AREA FUELS REMAIN DORMANT AND PRIME FOR BURNING.
LOCAL FIRE MANAGEMENT OFFICERS CONTINUE TO STRESS THAT ALL NATIVE
AND INVASIVE FUELS WOULD CARRY FIRE...HOWEVER THE GREATEST RISK OF
LARGE GROWTH WILL OCCUR IN THE CURED FINE FUELS.

SEVERAL LARGE FIRES HAVE BEEN NOTED RECENTLY ACROSS THE SANDHILLS
REGION OF NEBRASKA. ANOMALOUSLY WARM TEMPERATURES HAVE
CONTRIBUTED TO THE LARGE FIRE SPREAD...HOWEVER THE GREATEST RANGE
FIRE GROWTH HAS COME WHEN ONGOING FIRES ARE DRIVEN BY THE PASSAGE
OF A COLD FRONT.

THE INCREASED FIRE THREAT WILL CONTINUE UNTIL GREEN UP
OCCURS...BUT EVEN THEN...LARGE FUELS SUCH AS THE PONDEROSA PINES
AND EASTERN RED CEDAR FOUND WITHIN CANYONS AND ALONG THE PINE
RIDGE...MCKELVIE AND NEBRASKA NATIONAL FOREST WOULD REMAIN PRIME
FOR BURNING. A PROLONGED WET PERIOD WILL BE REQUIRED TO ENTIRELY
ALLEVIATE THE RISK OF EXTREME FIRE SPREAD WITHIN THE LARGER
FUELS.

BOTTOM LINE...AN INCREASED RANGE FIRE THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE
A MAJOR CONCERN UNTIL GREEN UP OCCURS AND SIGNIFICANT WIDESPREAD
PRECIPITATION IS REALIZED. 2015 SO FAR IS EERILY SIMILAR TO 2012
IN TERMS OF FIRE CONCERNS...BUT DRIER.

FOR MORE INFORMATION PLEASE VISIT THE NORTH PLATTE NWS FIRE
WEATHER WEB SITE PROVIDED BELOW...OR CONTACT THE NORTH PLATTE
FIRE WEATHER FOCAL POINT /SHAWN JACOBS/ DIRECTLY.

HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF/FIRE


.PRECIPITATION AND TEMPERATURE OUTLOOKS...

THE LATEST 6 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING THE PERIOD FROM APRIL 21ST
THROUGH THE 25TH CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERAURES AND NEAR NORMAL
PRECIPITATION. THE LATEST 8 TO 14 DAY OUTLOOK...COVERING THE PERIOD
FROM APRIL 23RD THROUGH THE 29TH CALLS FOR BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES
AND NEAR NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

THE LATEST 30 DAY OUTLOOK FOR MAY CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR
ABOVE...BELOW AND NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES FOR ALL OF WESTERN AND
NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA. FOR PRECIPITATION...THERE IS A SLIGHTLY
BETTER CHANCE FOR ABOVE AVERAGE PRECIPITATION WEST OF A LINE FROM
HAYES CENTER TO RUSHVILLE. OTHERWISE EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW
AND NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION EXISTS FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.

THE 3 MONTH TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK FOR MAY...JUNE AND JULY FOR WESTERN
AND NORTH CENTRAL NEBRASKA CALLS FOR EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW
AND NEAR AVERAGE TEMPERATURES. THE 3 MONTH OUTLOOK FOR PRECIPITATION
ALSO INDICATES SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR ABOVE AVERAGE
PRECIPITATION WEST OF A LINE FROM HAYES CENTER TO RUSHVILLE...WITH
EQUAL CHANCES FOR ABOVE...BELOW AND NEAR AVERAGE PRECIPITATION FOR
THE REMAINDER OF THE AREA.


.QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS INFORMATION
PLEASE CONTACT:

CHRIS BUTTLER
CLIMATE SERVICES FOCAL POINT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTH PLATTE NE
CHRISTOPHER.BUTTLER@NOAA.GOV


.RELATED WEB SITES...

LOCAL WEATHER...CLIMATE...FIRE AND WATER INFORMATION
HTTP://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/LBF

U.S. DROUGHT PORTAL
HTTP://WWW.DROUGHT.GOV

ADDITIONAL RIVER AND RESERVOIR INFORMATION
USGS - HTTP://WATER.USGS.GOV
CNPPID - HTTP://CNPPID.COM

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR
HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTER
HTTP://WWW.CPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV


.ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC DATA CENTER...THE
USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE DROUGHT
MITIGATION CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN
GATHERED FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...USGS...AND THE CENTRAL NEBRASKA PUBLIC POWER
AND IRRIGATION DISTRICT.


.NEXT ISSUANCE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE ROUTINELY ISSUED ON THE THIRD THURSDAY OF THE
MONTH. THE NEXT ISSUANCE WILL BE MAY 21 2015.

$$

CLB/JWS/MM/JB/SJ





USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.