Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Hastings, NE

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000
FNUS73 KGID 211140
FWSGID

SPOT FORECAST FOR GLEASON...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HASTINGS NE
640 AM CDT TUE APR 21 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0645 CDT ON APRIL 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WINDS WILL BE FROM THE NORTHWEST TODAY. TEMPERATURES
WILL RAPIDLY INCREASE THROUGH MIDDAY. DEEP MIXING WILL RESULT IN
EXCELLENT SMOKE DISPERSAL. WINDS WILL BECOME GUSTY BETWEEN 10 AND 11
AM. THIS GUSTINESS COULD RESULT IN EXTREME FIRE BEHAVIOR AT TIMES.
THE WIND DIRECTION WILL REMAIN STEADY BETWEEN WEST AND NORTHWEST...
BUT A COOL FRONT WILL CROSS THE BURN AREA BETWEEN 7 AND 8 PM...
SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST. HIGH PRESSURE WILL THEN SETTLE OVER
THE REGION TONIGHT...RESULTING IN DIMINISHING WINDS AFTER 10 PM.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 69.
MIN HUMIDITY........16 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........5 TO 6 OR OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-1200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 11100-11500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHWEST 26 TO
                    32 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........39     28     22     28     41     46
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............35     46     55     61     68     68
RH..............75     53     37     27     18     18
20 FT WIND......NW 4   NW 4   NW 6   W 9    W 10   NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     15     20     25     25
HAINES INDEX....5      5      5      6      6      6

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 32.
MAX HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 TO 6 OR OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......10800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 0-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 22 TO 31 MPH DECREASING TO 3 TO 7 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM   5 AM
SKY (%).........42     33     28     24     22     20
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............64     52     46     42     38     34
RH..............23     39     49     55     62     69
20 FT WIND......NW 7   N 6    NE 6   NE 6   NE 5   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     10     10
HAINES INDEX....6      5      4      4      4      4

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4700 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 2 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      7 AM   9 AM   11 AM  1 PM   3 PM   5 PM
SKY (%).........18     14     20     41     36     34
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............32     38     46     50     53     57
RH..............69     54     40     34     35     33
20 FT WIND......E 5    E 6    E 5    SE 5   SE 4   SE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     15     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      3

$$
FORECASTER...JEFF HALBLAUB
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW SCHELL
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150421.GLEAS.01/GID



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